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Partisan Effects in Economies with Variable Electoral Terms

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  • Ellis, Christopher J
  • Thoma, Mark A

Abstract

In fixed-time electoral economies, partisan surprises are associated with a change in government as in Alberto Alesina (1987). This paper models additional partisan surprises present in variable-electoral-term economies due to the timing of the change in government. Two versions of the model are presented, one in which the timing of the change is exogenous and one in which it is endogenous. The model is interesting as it provides an explanation of movements in expected inflation, output, and employment in all periods, not just those immediately after an election as in fixed-electoral-term models. Copyright 1991 by Ohio State University Press.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 23 (1991)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 728-41

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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:23:y:1991:i:4:p:728-41

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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Cited by:
  1. Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2001. "A model of exchange rate crises with partisan governments," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/8394, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  2. Chrétien, Stéphane & Coggins, Frank, 2009. "Election outcomes and financial market returns in Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 1-23, March.
  3. Berlemann, Michael & Markwardt, Gunther, 2006. "Variable rational partisan cycles and electoral uncertainty," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 874-886, December.

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