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Megszorítások és lazítások - a rendszerváltás fiskális politikájának szerkezetéről
[Tightening and loosening - on the structure of the fiscal policy of systemic change]

Author

Listed:
  • Kotosz, Balázs

Abstract

A tanulmány célja, hogy a tervgazdaságból a piacgazdaságba való átmenet költségvetési politikáját vizsgálja. Az irodalomban már vannak a választott módszernek előzményei, elsősorban Alberto Alesina és szerzőtársai munkáiban. A módszer lényege, hogy különböző könnyen megragadható, értelmezhető kategóriákba soroljuk a költségvetési politika egyenlegszinten mérhető akcióit, majd ezeken a kategóriákon belül vizsgáljuk a jellegzetességeket. A már említett elemzések OECD-országokra vonatkoznak, a kelet-európai átmenet sajátosságait vizsgáló tanulmány Catriona Purfield nevéhez fűződik, azonban az úttörő munka számos ponton kritizálható. Jelen tanulmány fő megállapítása, hogy a költségvetési akciók elsősorban a várakozások alakításán keresztül hatottak a makrogazdasági mutatókra - ahol és amikor a kormányzat szándékai tisztán kirajzolódtak, a megfelelő hatások könnyebben elérhetők voltak. Az elméleti szempontból nem fenntartható akciók a gyakorlatban is átmenetinek bizonyultak. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E62, H62, C82.

Suggested Citation

  • Kotosz, Balázs, 2006. "Megszorítások és lazítások - a rendszerváltás fiskális politikájának szerkezetéről [Tightening and loosening - on the structure of the fiscal policy of systemic change]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 158-174.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:822
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stanley Fischer & Ratna Sahay, 2000. "The Transition Economies After Ten Years," NBER Working Papers 7664, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Francesco Giavazzi & Marco Pagano, 1995. "Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes: International Evidence and the Swedish Experience," NBER Working Papers 5332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access

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