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A monetáris politika szerepe Magyarországon a pénzügyi válság kezelésében
[The role of monetary policy in Hungarys handling of the financial crisis]

Author

Listed:
  • Neményi, Judit

Abstract

A magyar gazdaságot a nemzetközi pénzügyi válság a költségvetési kiigazítás közepén érte el, megakadályozva azt, hogy a már két éve tartó visszafogott növekedésű pálya újból felívelő szakaszba váltson. A világgazdasági kereslet egyre erőteljesebb visszaesése a magyar gazdaságot is a recesszió felé lökte. A teljesítmény és a kilátások romlása elmélyítette a belpolitikai krízist, és növelte az ebből fakadó gazdaságpolitikai bizonytalanságot. A romló országbesorolás és a külföldi források drasztikus beszűkülése a 2008. szeptemberi Lehman-bukás után a külföldi befektetések zuhanását okozta az államkötvények piacán, nyomás alá helyezte a valutaárfolyamot, és gyors alkalmazkodást követelt a pénzintézetektől. A költségvetési és a monetáris politika mozgástere a válságkezelésben ugyanakkor beszűkült az eladósodottság okozta sérülékenység miatt. A cikkben a forrásszűkével és túlzott eladósodással, valamint a devizahitelek magas részarányával jellemezhető helyzet kialakulását előidéző külső és belső eredetű tényezőket tekintjük át. Vizsgáljuk, hogy a világválság Lehman-bukás utáni új szakaszának fejleményei hogyan érintették a magyar monetáris politika kereteit, stratégiáját és mozgásterét. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E58, E63, G01.

Suggested Citation

  • Neményi, Judit, 2009. "A monetáris politika szerepe Magyarországon a pénzügyi válság kezelésében [The role of monetary policy in Hungarys handling of the financial crisis]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 393-421.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1095
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry Eichengreen & Ricardo Hausmann & Ugo Panizza, 2007. "Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance, and the Original Sin: Why They Are Not the Same and Why It Matters," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 121-170, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Guillermo A. Calvo & Alejandro Izquierdo & Luis-Fernando Mejía, 2008. "Systemic Sudden Stops: The Relevance Of Balance-Sheet Effects And Financial Integration," NBER Working Papers 14026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Guillermo A. Calvo & Alejandro Izquierdo & Luis-Fernando Mejía, 2008. "Systemic Sudden Stops: The Relevance Of Balance-Sheet Effects And Financial Integration," NBER Working Papers 14026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Guillermo A. Calvo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2002. "Fear of Floating," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(2), pages 379-408.
    5. Luisa Zanforlin & Ian Tower & Erlend Nier & Michael Moore & Ana Carvajal & Randall Dodd, 2009. "The Perimeter of Financial Regulation," IMF Staff Position Notes 2009/07, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Guillermo A. Calvo & Ernesto Talvi, 2005. "Sudden Stop, Financial Factors and Economic Collpase in Latin America: Learning from Argentina and Chile," NBER Working Papers 11153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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