IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/transp/v47y2020i6d10.1007_s11116-019-09990-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Can passenger flow distribution be estimated solely based on network properties in public transport systems?

Author

Listed:
  • Ding Luo

    (Delft University of Technology)

  • Oded Cats

    (Delft University of Technology)

  • Hans Lint

    (Delft University of Technology)

Abstract

We present a pioneering investigation into the relation between passenger flow distribution and network properties in public transport systems. The methodology is designed in a reverse engineering fashion by utilizing passively measured passenger flow dynamics over the entire network. We quantify the properties of public transport networks using a range of centrality indicators in the topological representations of public transport networks with both infrastructure and service layers considered. All the employed indicators, which originate from complex network science, are interpreted in the context of public transport systems. Regression models are further developed to capture the correlative relation between passenger flow distribution and several centrality indicators that are selected based on the correlation analysis. The primary finding from the case study on the tram networks of The Hague and Amsterdam is that the selected network properties can indeed be used to approximate passenger flow distribution in public transport systems to a reasonable extent. Notwithstanding, no causality is implied, as the correlation may also reflect how well the supply allocation caters for the underlying demand distribution. The significance and relevance of this study stems from two aspects: (1) the unraveled relation provides a parsimonious alternative to existing passenger assignment models that require many assumptions on the basis of limited data; (2) the resulting model offers efficient quick-scan decision support capabilities that can help transport planners in tactical planning decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ding Luo & Oded Cats & Hans Lint, 2020. "Can passenger flow distribution be estimated solely based on network properties in public transport systems?," Transportation, Springer, vol. 47(6), pages 2757-2776, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:47:y:2020:i:6:d:10.1007_s11116-019-09990-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-019-09990-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11116-019-09990-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11116-019-09990-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Spiess, Heinz & Florian, Michael, 1989. "Optimal strategies: A new assignment model for transit networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 83-102, April.
    2. Álvarez, Inmaculada C. & Barbero, Javier & Zofío, José L., 2017. "A Panel Data Toolbox for MATLAB," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 76(i06).
    3. Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Fonzone, Achille & Shimamoto, Hiroshi & Kurauchi, Fumitaka & Bell, Michael G.H., 2011. "Frequency-based transit assignment considering seat capacities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 392-408, February.
    4. Cepeda, M. & Cominetti, R. & Florian, M., 2006. "A frequency-based assignment model for congested transit networks with strict capacity constraints: characterization and computation of equilibria," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 437-459, July.
    5. Cheng Hsiao, 2007. "Panel data analysis—advantages and challenges," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 16(1), pages 1-22, May.
    6. C. von Ferber & T. Holovatch & Yu. Holovatch & V. Palchykov, 2009. "Public transport networks: empirical analysis and modeling," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 68(2), pages 261-275, March.
    7. Nguyen, S. & Pallottino, S., 1988. "Equilibrium traffic assignment for large scale transit networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 176-186, November.
    8. Wen, Tzai-Hung & Chin, Wei-Chien-Benny & Lai, Pei-Chun, 2017. "Understanding the topological characteristics and flow complexity of urban traffic congestion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 166-177.
    9. Zhao, Shuangming & Zhao, Pengxiang & Cui, Yunfan, 2017. "A network centrality measure framework for analyzing urban traffic flow: A case study of Wuhan, China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 478(C), pages 143-157.
    10. Agostino Nuzzolo & Francesco Russo & Umberto Crisalli, 2001. "A Doubly Dynamic Schedule-based Assignment Model for Transit Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 268-285, August.
    11. Guo, Zhan, 2011. "Mind the map! The impact of transit maps on path choice in public transit," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 625-639, August.
    12. Cheng Hsiao, 2007. "Rejoinder on: Panel data analysis—advantages and challenges," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 16(1), pages 56-57, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Peng Wu & Yunfei Li & Chengbing Li, 2022. "Invulnerability of the Urban Agglomeration Integrated Passenger Transport Network under Emergency Events," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Cats, Oded & Hijner, Anne Mijntje, 2021. "Quantifying the cascading effects of passenger delays," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    3. Feng, Xiao & He, Shiwei & Li, Guangye & Chi, Jushang, 2021. "Transfer network of high-speed rail and aviation: Structure and critical components," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    4. Zhang, Mengyao & Huang, Tao & Guo, Zhaoxia & He, Zhenggang, 2022. "Complex-network-based traffic network analysis and dynamics: A comprehensive review," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Y. & Szeto, W.Y., 2016. "Reliability-based stochastic transit assignment: Formulations and capacity paradox," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 181-206.
    2. Hamdouch, Younes & Szeto, W.Y. & Jiang, Y., 2014. "A new schedule-based transit assignment model with travel strategies and supply uncertainties," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 35-67.
    3. Zhu, Yiwen & Koutsopoulos, Haris N. & Wilson, Nigel H.M., 2017. "A probabilistic Passenger-to-Train Assignment Model based on automated data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 522-542.
    4. Szeto, W.Y. & Jiang, Y., 2014. "Transit route and frequency design: Bi-level modeling and hybrid artificial bee colony algorithm approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 235-263.
    5. Canca, David & Andrade-Pineda, José Luis & De los Santos, Alicia & Calle, Marcos, 2018. "The Railway Rapid Transit frequency setting problem with speed-dependent operation costs," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PA), pages 494-519.
    6. Khani, Alireza, 2019. "An online shortest path algorithm for reliable routing in schedule-based transit networks considering transfer failure probability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 549-564.
    7. Cats, Oded & West, Jens & Eliasson, Jonas, 2016. "A dynamic stochastic model for evaluating congestion and crowding effects in transit systems," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 43-57.
    8. Trozzi, Valentina & Gentile, Guido & Bell, Michael G.H. & Kaparias, Ioannis, 2013. "Dynamic user equilibrium in public transport networks with passenger congestion and hyperpaths," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 266-285.
    9. S. Mahmassani, Hani & F. Hyland, Michael, 2016. "Gap-based transit assignment algorithm with vehicle capacity constraints: Simulation-based implementation and large-scale applicationAuthor-Name: Verbas, Ömer," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1-16.
    10. Liu, Jiangtao & Zhou, Xuesong, 2016. "Capacitated transit service network design with boundedly rational agents," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 225-250.
    11. Li, Qianfei & (Will) Chen, Peng & (Marco) Nie, Yu, 2015. "Finding optimal hyperpaths in large transit networks with realistic headway distributions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(1), pages 98-108.
    12. Xu, Zhandong & Xie, Jun & Liu, Xiaobo & Nie, Yu (Marco), 2020. "Hyperpath-based algorithms for the transit equilibrium assignment problem," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    13. Wu, Di & Yin, Yafeng & Lawphongpanich, Siriphong, 2011. "Pareto-improving congestion pricing on multimodal transportation networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(3), pages 660-669, May.
    14. Codina, Esteve & Rosell, Francisca, 2017. "A heuristic method for a congested capacitated transit assignment model with strategies," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 293-320.
    15. Younes Hamdouch & Siriphong Lawphongpanich, 2010. "Congestion Pricing for Schedule-Based Transit Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(3), pages 350-366, August.
    16. Hamdouch, Younes & Lawphongpanich, Siriphong, 2008. "Schedule-based transit assignment model with travel strategies and capacity constraints," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 663-684, August.
    17. Nair, Rahul & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2014. "Equilibrium network design of shared-vehicle systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 47-61.
    18. Canca, David & Barrena, Eva & De-Los-Santos, Alicia & Andrade-Pineda, José Luis, 2016. "Setting lines frequency and capacity in dense railway rapid transit networks with simultaneous passenger assignment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 251-267.
    19. Shang, Pan & Li, Ruimin & Guo, Jifu & Xian, Kai & Zhou, Xuesong, 2019. "Integrating Lagrangian and Eulerian observations for passenger flow state estimation in an urban rail transit network: A space-time-state hyper network-based assignment approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 135-167.
    20. Canca, David & De-Los-Santos, Alicia & Laporte, Gilbert & Mesa, Juan A., 2019. "Integrated Railway Rapid Transit Network Design and Line Planning problem with maximum profit," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 1-30.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:47:y:2020:i:6:d:10.1007_s11116-019-09990-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.