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New Keynesian Explanations of Cyclical Movements in Aggregate Inflation and Regional Inflation Differentials

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Author Info
Matthew Canzoneri ()
Robert Cumby ()
Behzad Diba ()
Olena Mykhaylova ()

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Abstract

What determines the cyclical behavior of aggregate inflation and regional inflation differentials? The answer has strong implications for monetary policy and in Europe for the Stability and Growth Pact. In the United States, inflation rates move pro-cyclically, and across the Euro Area, inflation differentials are positively correlated with growth differentials. This suggests that demand shocks are the primary determinants of the cyclical behavior of aggregate inflation and regional inflation differentials. In this paper, we discuss New Keynesian explanations of these correlations, and we argue that demand shocks are either missing or inadequately modeled in the in typical New Keynesian model. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2006

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11079-006-5213-2
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Open Economies Review.

Volume (Year): 17 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 27-55
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Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:17:y:2006:i:1:p:27-55

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Related research
Keywords: inflation; inflation differentials; NNS models;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  3. Ricardo Reis, 2004. "Inattentive Consumers," NBER Working Papers 10883, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Margarida Duarte, 2003. "The euro and inflation divergence in Europe," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Sum, pages 53-70. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pau Rabanal & Jordi Galí, 2005. "Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations: How Well Does the RBC Model Fit Postwar U.S. Data?," IMF Working Papers 04/234, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Jordi Galí & J. David López-Salido & Javier Vallés, 2004. "Understanding the effects of government spending on consumption," Working Paper Series 339, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Ignazio Angeloni & Michael Ehrmann, 2004. "Euro area inflation differentials," Working Paper Series 388, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Fatás, Antonio & Mihov, Ilian, 2001. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Consumption and Employment: Theory and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 2760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Erceg, Christopher J. & Henderson, Dale W. & Levin, Andrew T., 2000. "Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 281-313, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2003. "Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy: A Linear Quadratic Approach," NBER Working Papers 9905, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Roland Straub & Günter Coenen, 2005. "Non-Ricardian Households and Fiscal Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 102, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  13. Ivan Tchakarov & Philippe D Karam & Tamim Bayoumi & Hamid Faruqee & Ben Hunt & Douglas Laxton & Jaewoo Lee & Alessandro Rebucci, 2004. "GEM: A New International Macroeconomic Model," IMF Occasional Papers 239, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Christopher J. Erceg & Luca Guerrieri & Christopher Gust, 2006. "SIGMA: a new open economy model for policy analysis," International Finance Discussion Papers 835, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  16. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 2005. "Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(1), pages 1-45, February.
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  17. Jonathan Heathcote, 2005. "Fiscal Policy with Heterogeneous Agents and Incomplete Markets," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 72(1), pages 161-188, 01. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Tatiana Kirsanova & Simon Wren-Lewis, 2007. "Optimal fiscal feedback on debt in an economy with nominal rigidities," Working Paper 2007-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Matthew Canzoneri, 2007. "Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union: Policy Issues & Analytical Models," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 165, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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