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Exchange Rate Systems and Macroeconomic Stability

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Author Info
Collard, Fabrice
Dellas, Harris

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Abstract

We examine macroeconomic stability and the properties of the international transmission of business cycles under three exchange rate systems: a flexible, a unilateral peg and a single currency. The subjects of study are Germany and France. EMU increases output and decreases inflation variability in Germany but it has the opposite effect in France. It induces a strong negative international transmission of country specific supply shocks and amplifies the role of German supply shocks. These two facts may complicate ECB policy-making.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2768.

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Date of creation: Apr 2001
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2768

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Related research
Keywords: Flexible Exchange Rate International Business Cycle Transmission Monetary Union Taylor Rules Unilateral Exchange Rate Pegging

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

Cited by:
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  1. Harris Dellas & George Tavlas, 2004. "Wage Rigidity and Monetary Union," Working Papers 12, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Matthew Canzoneri & Robert Cumby & Behzad Diba & Olena Mykhaylova, 2006. "New Keynesian Explanations of Cyclical Movements in Aggregate Inflation and Regional Inflation Differentials," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 27-55, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Harris Dellas & George S. Tavlas, 2004. "The Global Implications of Regional Exchange Rate Regines," Working Papers 18, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias, 2005. "Bayesian Estimation of an Open Economy DSGE Model with Incomplete Pass-Through," Working Paper Series 179, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Ester Faia & Tommaso Monacelli, . "Ramsey Monetary Policy and International Relative Prices," Working Papers 254, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Evi Pappa & Zheng Liu, 2005. "Gains from International Monetary Policy Coordination: Does It Pay to Be Different?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 457, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Fabrice Collard & Harris Dellas, 2006. "Price Rigidity and the Selection of the Exchange Rate Regime," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 5-26, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Fabrice Collard & Harris Dellas, 2002. "Technology Shocks and Employment," Diskussionsschriften dp0217, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Margarida Duarte & Alexander L. Wolman, 2003. "Fiscal policy and regional inflation in a currency union," Working Paper 03-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. [Downloadable!]
  10. Martine Carre & Fabrice Collard, 2000. "Monetary Union: A Welfare Based Approach," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0526, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Zheng Liu & Evi Pappa, . "Gains from Coordination in a Multi-Sector Open Economy: Does it Pay to be Different?," Working Papers 296, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Volker Clausen & Bernd Hayo, 2002. "Makroökonomische Implikationen der Mitgliedschaft Deutschlands in der Europäischen Währungsunion," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 71(3), pages 339-353. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Uluc Aysun, 2006. "Testing for Balance Sheet Effects in Emerging Market Countries," Working papers 2006-28, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  14. Hughes Hallett, Andrew & Piscitelli, Laura, 1999. "EMU in Reality: The Effect of a Common Monetary Policy on Economies with Different Transmission Mechanisms," CEPR Discussion Papers 2068, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  15. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Application of the IS-MP-IA model to the German economy and policy implications," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 15(5), pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
  16. Matthew Canzoneri, 2007. "Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union: Policy Issues & Analytical Models," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 165, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  17. Margarida Duarte & Alexander L. Wolman, 2002. "Regional inflation in a currency union: fiscal policy vs. fundamentals," International Finance Discussion Papers 746, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  18. Kollmann, Robert, 2002. "Monetary Policy Rules in the Open Economy: Effects on Welfare and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 3279, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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