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Resolving Rabin’s paradox

Author

Listed:
  • Han Bleichrodt

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam
    Australian National University)

  • Jason N. Doctor

    (University of Southern California)

  • Yu Gao

    (Peking University)

  • Chen Li

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

  • Daniella Meeker

    (University of South California)

  • Peter P. Wakker

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Abstract

We present a theoretical model of Rabin’s famous calibration paradox that resolves confusions in the literature and that makes it possible to identify the causes of the paradox. Using suitable experimental stimuli, we show that the paradox truly violates expected utility and that it is caused by reference dependence. Rabin already showed that utility curvature alone cannot explain his paradox. We, more strongly, do not find any contribution of utility curvature to the explanation of the paradox. We find no contribution of probability weighting either. We conclude that Rabin’s paradox underscores the importance of reference dependence.

Suggested Citation

  • Han Bleichrodt & Jason N. Doctor & Yu Gao & Chen Li & Daniella Meeker & Peter P. Wakker, 2019. "Resolving Rabin’s paradox," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 239-260, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrisku:v:59:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11166-019-09318-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11166-019-09318-0
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