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India, Pakistan, and the Kashmir dispute: unpacking the dynamics of a South Asian frozen conflict

Author

Listed:
  • Sumit Ganguly

    (Indiana University)

  • Michal Smetana

    (Charles University)

  • Sannia Abdullah

    (Stanford University)

  • Ales Karmazin

    (Metropolitan University Prague)

Abstract

The Kashmir dispute between India and Pakistan remains at the core of one of the most intractable conflicts in modern history. This article provides a plausibility probe into the dynamics of this South Asian rivalry that is conceptually based on the dynamic understanding of “frozen conflicts” introduced in this special issue of Asia Europe Journal. We lay out the key features of the conflict vis-à-vis the redefined notion of frozen conflicts, situating the rivalry in the broader category of unresolved protracted conflicts with a looming threat of violence renewal. In turn, we examine the three transformational dynamics as they operate in this particular case: peaceful thawing, violent thawing, and conflict withering. We conclude that despite the ongoing developments within the conflict dynamics, the possibility of conflict transformation through any of the suggested pathways remains unlikely in the near future.

Suggested Citation

  • Sumit Ganguly & Michal Smetana & Sannia Abdullah & Ales Karmazin, 2019. "India, Pakistan, and the Kashmir dispute: unpacking the dynamics of a South Asian frozen conflict," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 129-143, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:asiaeu:v:17:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10308-018-0526-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10308-018-0526-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jack S. Levy, 2008. "Case Studies: Types, Designs, and Logics of Inference," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 25(1), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Rajesh Venugopal & Sameer Yasir, 2017. "The politics of natural disasters in protracted conflict: the 2014 flood in Kashmir," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(4), pages 424-442, October.
    3. Navnita Chadha Behera, 2016. "The Kashmir Conflict: Multiple Fault Lines," Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, , vol. 3(1), pages 41-63, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kamil Christoph Klosek & Vojtěch Bahenský & Michal Smetana & Jan Ludvík, 2021. "Frozen conflicts in world politics: A new dataset," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 58(4), pages 849-858, July.
    2. Dar, Aehsan Ahmad & Deb, Sibnath, 2020. "Psychological distress among young adults exposed to armed conflict in Kashmir," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).

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