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Stability and wage acceleration in macroeconomic models of cyclical growth

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  • A. R. Bergstrom

    (Department of Economics, University of Essex, Wivenhoe Park, Colchester CO4 3SQ, UK)

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the stability of macroeconomic models in which there is no long-run trade-off between unemployment and inflation, because of a wage adjustment equation based on the NAIRU concept. It is shown, for a simple theoretical model and for the Bergstrom-Nowman-Wymer continuous-time macro-econometric model of the UK, that there is a bounded range of positive values of the wage acceleration parameter (determining the effect of labour demand on wage acceleration) for which the steady state is asymptotically stable. Then, each model generates damped cycles about a path converging to the steady-state neoclassical growth path. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 16 (2001)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 327-340

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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:16:y:2001:i:3:p:327-340

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  1. Bergstrom, A. R., 1985. "The Estimation of Parameters in Nonstationary Higher Order Continuous-Time Dynamic Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(03), pages 369-385, December.
  2. Nieuwenhuis, Herman J. & Schoonbeek, Lambert, 1997. "Stability and the structure of continuous-time economic models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 311-340, July.
  3. Bergstrom, A. R., 1986. "The Estimation of Open Higher-Order Continuous Time Dynamic Models with Mixed Stock and Flow Data," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(03), pages 350-373, December.
  4. William Barnett & Yijun He, 2012. "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201226, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
  5. Bergstrom, A. R. & Nowman, K. B. & Wymer, C. R., 1992. "Gaussian estimation of a second order continuous time macroeconometric model of the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 313-351, October.
  6. Bergstrom, Albert Rex, 1983. "Gaussian Estimation of Structural Parameters in Higher Order Continuous Time Dynamic Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(1), pages 117-52, January.
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Cited by:
  1. Joanne S. Ercolani, 2007. "Cyclical Trends in Continuous Time Models," Discussion Papers 07-13, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
  2. Jewitt, Giles & Roderick McCrorie, J., 2005. "Computing estimates of continuous time macroeconometric models on the basis of discrete data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 397-416, April.

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