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Speculative bubbles in agricultural commodity prices: detection and forecasting via market indicators

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  • Clio Ciaschini
  • Kateryna Tkach
  • Francesca Mariani
  • Maria Cristina Recchioni

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  • Clio Ciaschini & Kateryna Tkach & Francesca Mariani & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2019. "Speculative bubbles in agricultural commodity prices: detection and forecasting via market indicators," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 73(2), pages 63-73, April-Jun.
    • Handle: RePEc:ite:iteeco:190205
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Radetzki, Marian, 2006. "The anatomy of three commodity booms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 56-64, March.
    4. Alan Kirman, 1993. "Ants, Rationality, and Recruitment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(1), pages 137-156.
    5. V. V. Chari & Lawrence J. Christiano, 2017. "Financialization in Commodity Markets," Staff Report 552, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    6. Shefrin, Hersh, 2008. "A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 2, number 9780123743565.
    7. Daskalaki, Charoula & Skiadopoulos, George, 2011. "Should investors include commodities in their portfolios after all? New evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2606-2626, October.
    8. Simone Alfarano & Thomas Lux & Friedrich Wagner, 2005. "Estimation of Agent-Based Models: The Case of an Asymmetric Herding Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 26(1), pages 19-49, August.
    9. Harrison Hong & Jeremy C. Stein, 2007. "Disagreement and the Stock Market," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 21(2), pages 109-128, Spring.
    10. Kristian Stegenborg Larsen & Michael Sørensen, 2007. "Diffusion Models For Exchange Rates In A Target Zone," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 285-306, April.
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