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¿Es el Control Selectivo de Capitales Efectivo en Chile? Su Efecto sobre el Tipo de Cambio Real

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Author Info
Marcelo Soto
Salvador Valdés () (Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.)

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Abstract

This paper analyzes an unremunerated reserve requirement on cross-border short term credit inflows, as applied in Chile. The impact of this reserve requirement over the path of the real exchange rate is investigated empirically. The authorities expected this capital control to alleviate the real appreciation of the local currency which ensues after a restrictive monetary policy, which attracts capital inflows. This requires that an increase of the tax equivalent of this capital control at least delays the real appreciation that would normally ensue when domestic interest rates are raised. The empirical finding is that such effect is nil. The implication is that the authorities should not trust selective capital controls to mitigate this side effect of restrictive monetary policy. It is also found that, within government expenditure, only transfers have some (small) impact on the real exchange rate, once total national spending is controlled for. Purchases of international reserves by the Central Bank also depreciate the equilibrium real exchange rate, but the effect is small. Finally, it is shown that the Chilean real exchange rate is influenced by developments in international capital markets, including the supply of funds to emerging markets generally and country risk ratings.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. in its journal Cuadernos de Economía.

Volume (Year): 33 (1996)
Issue (Month): 98 ()
Pages: 77-108
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Handle: RePEc:ioe:cuadec:v:33:y:1996:i:98:p:77-108

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Donald J. Mathieson & Liliana Rojas-Suárez, 1993. "Liberalization of the Capital Account: Experiences and Issues," IMF Occasional Papers 103, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Phillips, P C B & Durlauf, S N, 1986. "Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 473-95, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Patricio Arrau & Jorge Quiroz & Rómulo Chumacero, 1992. "Ahorro Fiscal y Tipo de Cambio Real," Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics), Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 29(88), pages 349-386. [Downloadable!]
  5. Corbo, Vittorio & Hernandez, Leonardo, 1994. "Macroeconomic adjustment to capital inflows : Latin American style versus East Asian style," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1377, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  6. Peter J. Quirk & Owen Evens, 1995. "Capital Account Convertibility: Review of Experience and Implications for IMF Policies," IMF Occasional Papers 131, International Monetary Fund.
  7. Elbadawi, Ibrahim A. & Soto, Raimundo, 1994. "Capital flows and long-term equilibrium real exchange rates in Chile," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1306, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Francisco A. Gallego & Leonardo Hernandez & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2000. "Capital Controls in Chile: Effective? Efficient?," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0330, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Sebastian Edwards, 1999. "How Effective Are Capital Controls?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 65-84, Fall. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Salvador Valdés-Prieto & Marcelo Soto, 1998. "The Effectiveness of Capital Controls: Theory and Evidence from Chile," Empirica, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 133-164, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ilan Goldfajn, 2000. "The swings in capital flows and the brazilian crisis," Textos para discussão 422, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  5. Sebastian Edwards, 1999. "International capital flows and emerging markets: amending the rules of the game?," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Jun, pages 137-171. [Downloadable!]
  6. Luis Oscar Herrera & Rodrigo Valdés, 1999. "The Effect of Capital Controls on Interest Rate Differentials," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 50, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  7. Sebastián Edwards, 2005. "Managing the Capital Account," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 338, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  8. Guillermo Le Fort & Sergio Lehmann, 2000. "El Encaje, los Flujos de Capitales y el Gasto: Una Evaluación empírica," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 64, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  9. Roberto Chang & Andrés Velasco, 2001. "The 1997-98 Liquidity Crisis: Asia Versus Latin America," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 120, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  10. Sebastian Edwards, 2000. "Interest Rates, Contagion and Capital Controls," NBER Working Papers 7801, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Jose De Gregorio & Sebastian Edwards & Rodrigo O. Valdes, 2000. "Controls on Capital Inflows: Do they Work?," NBER Working Papers 7645, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Francisco A. Gallego & F. Leonardo Hernández, 2003. "Microeconomic effects of capital controls: The chilean experience during the 1990s," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(3), pages 225-253. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Johnston, R Barry, 1998. "Sequencing Capital Account Liberalizations and Financial Sector Reform," IMF Papers on Policy Analysis and Assessments 98/8, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  14. Leonardo Hernández & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2001. "Banking, financial integration, and international crises : an overview," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 100, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
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