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An Empirical Analysis of Financially Distressed Italian Companies

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  • Luca Sensini

Abstract

This paper investigates the performance of forecasting models for default risk referring to the annual balance sheet information of Italian firms. One of the main issues in bankruptcy predictions is related to the selection of the best set of indicators. Therefore, our main research question concerns the identification of the determinants of corporate financial distress, comparing the performance of innovative selection techniques. Furthermore, several aspects related to the default risk analysis have been considered, namely the nature of the numerical information and the sample design. The proposed models take in consideration the above-mentioned issues and the empirical results, elaborated on a data set of financial indices expressly derived from annual reports of the industrial firms. These reports provide evidence in favor of our proposal over the traditional ones.

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Sensini, 2016. "An Empirical Analysis of Financially Distressed Italian Companies," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(10), pages 75-85, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ibrjnl:v:9:y:2016:i:10:p:75-85
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    Cited by:

    1. Marianna Succurro, 2017. "Financial Bankruptcy across European Countries," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(7), pages 132-146, July.
    2. Yarong Chen & Luca Sensini & Maria Vazquez, 2021. "Determinants of Leverage in Emerging Markets: Empirical Evidence," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 40-46.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bankruptcy; default risk; variable selection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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