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Integrating Regret Psychology to Travel Mode Choice for a Transit-Oriented Evacuation Strategy

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  • Shi An

    (School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, 73 Huanghe Road, Harbin 150090, China)

  • Ze Wang

    (School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, 73 Huanghe Road, Harbin 150090, China)

  • Jianxun Cui

    (School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, 73 Huanghe Road, Harbin 150090, China)

Abstract

Facing the potential dangers from sudden disasters in urban cities, emergency administrators have to make an appropriate evacuation plan to mitigate negative consequences. However, little attention has been paid to evacuee real decision psychology when developing a strategy. The aim of this paper is to analyze evacuee mode choice behavior considering regret aversion psychology during evacuation. First, the utility-based and regret-based models are formulated to obtain evacuees’ preferences on travel mode choice, respectively. According to the data collected from the stated preference (SP) survey on evacuee mode choice, the estimation results show that the regret-based model performs better than the utility model. Moreover, based on the estimates from behavioral analysis, the elasticities of evacuee mode choices are calculated, and transit strategy simulation is undertaken to investigate the influence on evacuee mode switching from private automobile to public transit. The results are expected to help emergency administrators to make a transit-oriented strategy for a sustainable evacuation plan, especially for the benefit of carless people.

Suggested Citation

  • Shi An & Ze Wang & Jianxun Cui, 2015. "Integrating Regret Psychology to Travel Mode Choice for a Transit-Oriented Evacuation Strategy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(7), pages 1-16, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:7:y:2015:i:7:p:8116-8131:d:51602
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Peng Jing & Mengxuan Zhao & Meiling He & Long Chen, 2018. "Travel Mode and Travel Route Choice Behavior Based on Random Regret Minimization: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-20, April.
    2. Rosa Marina González & Concepción Román & Ángel Simón Marrero, 2021. "Values of Travel Time for Recreational Trips under Different Behavioural Rules," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, June.
    3. Luan, Siliang & Yang, Qingfang & Jiang, Zhongtai & Wang, Wei, 2021. "Exploring the impact of COVID-19 on individual's travel mode choice in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 271-280.
    4. Wong, Stephen D & Chorus, Caspar G & Shaheen, Susan A & Walker, Joan L, 2020. "A Revealed Preference Methodology to Evaluate Regret Minimization with Challenging Choice Sets: A Wildfire Evacuation Case Study," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt2k12q9ph, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    5. Zhihao Duan & Jinliang Xu & Han Ru & Yaping Dong & Xingliang Liu, 2019. "Analysis of Emergency Evacuation Modal Choice Behavior with Spatial Indicators: Case Study in Xi’an, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-10, December.

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