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Projected Summer Tourism Potential of the Black Sea Region

Author

Listed:
  • Mustafa Tufan Turp

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Computational Science and Engineering, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Nazan An

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Computational Science and Engineering, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Başak Bilgin

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Department of Tourism Administration, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Gamze Şimşir

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Computational Science and Engineering, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Bora Orgen

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Department of Physics, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

  • Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

    (Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
    Department of Physics, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye)

Abstract

The impacts of climate change and the extent of their consequences exhibit regional variability. The negative effects of climate change on the tourism industry require a comprehensive examination of the vulnerabilities of tourism–dependent countries. Considering that the tourism sector is an important source of income for these countries, it is imperative to evaluate the potential consequences of climate change. Its effects may lead to changes in the location and popularity of tourist destinations and the timing of the tourism season. If popular coastal destinations cannot respond effectively to the impacts of climate change, alternative tourism destinations need to be explored to reduce financial losses. This study aims to assess the potential of the Black Sea coasts as an alternative tourism destination. The evaluation was conducted using the Holiday Climate Index (HCI), a prominent indicator for determining human comfort. The research showed that Türkiye’s Black Sea coast may have the necessary comfort level for beach tourism in the summer season and may be attractive for more tourists considering the positive relationship between arrival and overnight stay and tourist comfort.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa Tufan Turp & Nazan An & Başak Bilgin & Gamze Şimşir & Bora Orgen & Mehmet Levent Kurnaz, 2023. "Projected Summer Tourism Potential of the Black Sea Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2023:i:1:p:377-:d:1311449
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    4. Jonathon Day & Natalie Chin & Sandra Sydnor & Melissa Widhalm & Kalim U. Shah & Leslie Dorworth, 2021. "Implications of climate change for tourism and outdoor recreation: an Indiana, USA, case study," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 1-21, December.
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