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The Impact of Ecological Governance on Industrial Structure Upgrading under the Dual Carbon Target

Author

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  • Siqing You

    (School of Information, Beijing Wuzi University, Beijing 101100, China)

  • Han Zhao

    (School of Information, Beijing Wuzi University, Beijing 101100, China)

  • Hongli Zhou

    (School of Information, Beijing Wuzi University, Beijing 101100, China)

  • Chaoyu Zhang

    (School of Information, Beijing Wuzi University, Beijing 101100, China)

  • Zican Li

    (School of Information, Beijing Wuzi University, Beijing 101100, China)

Abstract

Under China’s goal of “carbon neutrality”, appropriate ecological governance is crucial for upgrading the industrial structure, and too strict or loose governance will have a negative effect. In order to find the optimal range for ecological governance efforts, the concept of the industrial low-carbon index was defined based on the comparison of industrial carbon emissions and output value. The industrial structure was measured from two dimensions: overall upgrading and internal optimization of the industry. We innovatively use multiple indicators to represent the core explanatory variables and use the coefficient of variation method to calculate them. A threshold regression model for ecological governance and industrial structure based on the above indicator system was built, using indicator data from 288 cities in China over the past 15 years for empirical analysis. The study found that (1) ecological governance has a threshold effect on the overall upgrading and internal optimization of the industrial structure, and overall efforts need to be increased for ecological governance; (2) the governance intensity for different cities needs to be determined according to their economic levels and local conditions; and (3) the industrial structure gap among cities will gradually narrow, and the overall development tends to be balanced.

Suggested Citation

  • Siqing You & Han Zhao & Hongli Zhou & Chaoyu Zhang & Zican Li, 2023. "The Impact of Ecological Governance on Industrial Structure Upgrading under the Dual Carbon Target," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:11:p:8676-:d:1157031
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Siqing You & Chaoyu Zhang & Han Zhao & Hongli Zhou & Zican Li & Jiayi Xu & Yan Meng, 2023. "Trend Analysis of the Impact of Ecological Governance on Industrial Structural Upgrading under the Dual Carbon Target," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-15, July.

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