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Determinants of Farmland Abandonment in Selected Metropolitan Areas of Poland: A Spatial Analysis on the Basis of Regression Trees and Interviews with Experts

Author

Listed:
  • Wojciech Sroka

    (Institute of Economic and Social Sciences, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Krakow, Poland)

  • Bernd Pölling

    (Department of Agriculture, South-Westphalia University of Applied Sciences, Lübecker Ring 2, 59494 Soest, Germany)

  • Tomasz Wojewodzic

    (Institute of Economic and Social Sciences, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Krakow, Poland)

  • Miroslaw Strus

    (Institute of Economics and Social Sciences, Wrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences; Grunwaldzki 24A, 50-363 Wroclaw, Poland)

  • Paulina Stolarczyk

    (Department of European Policy, Public Finance and Marketing, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW (Wuls-Sggw); ul. Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warszawa, Poland)

  • Olga Podlinska

    (Department of European Policy, Public Finance and Marketing, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW (Wuls-Sggw); ul. Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warszawa, Poland)

Abstract

Dynamic land use changes in metropolitan areas are global phenomena. The influence of urbanisation processes on farmland is twofold: urban encroachments predominantly take place at the expense of farmland, and also result in farmland abandonment processes, especially in Central Eastern and Southern Europe. This paper analyses determinants of farmland abandonment in 280 municipalities situated in six selected Polish metropolitan areas. The analysis, which covers secondary statistical data as well as primary data collected via a survey among experts, applies the regression tree method. Within the six selected metropolitan areas nearly 9% of the farmland is permanently excluded from agricultural production (actual abandonment), plus another 11.5% is currently not being used for production (semi-abandonment). For actual abandonment, physical and economic sizes of farms, part-time farming, and soil quality constitute the most relevant determinants. Socio-economic variables play a more important role in explaining semi-abandonment than actual abandonment. Temporary exclusion of farmland from agricultural production is connected with urbanisation processes. Higher shares of built-up and urbanised areas, higher population densities, and positive migration rates result in higher shares of semi-abandonment. Naturally, areas characterised by agrarian fragmentation, where due to low agricultural incomes farmers more often decided to abandon agricultural production, were, in particular, subject to this process.

Suggested Citation

  • Wojciech Sroka & Bernd Pölling & Tomasz Wojewodzic & Miroslaw Strus & Paulina Stolarczyk & Olga Podlinska, 2019. "Determinants of Farmland Abandonment in Selected Metropolitan Areas of Poland: A Spatial Analysis on the Basis of Regression Trees and Interviews with Experts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-23, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:11:p:3071-:d:235899
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    2. Adam Pawlewicz & Katarzyna Pawlewicz, 2023. "The Risk of Agricultural Land Abandonment as a Socioeconomic Challenge for the Development of Agriculture in the European Union," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-24, February.
    3. Subedi, Yuba Raj & Kristiansen, Paul & Cacho, Oscar, 2022. "Reutilising abandoned cropland in the Hill agroecological region of Nepal: Options and farmers’ preferences," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    4. Różycka-Czas Renata & Czesak Barbara & Staszel Andrzej, 2021. "Which Polish Cities Sprawl the Most," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-18, November.
    5. Yumeng Wang & Jiaxu Li & Xiangzhi Kong, 2022. "What Drives Land Abandonment in Core Grain-Producing Areas? Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-19, April.
    6. Sroka, Wojciech & Paluch, Łukasz, 2021. "Green Infrastructure In Peri-Urban Landscapes – A Case Study From Polish Metropolitan Areas," Roczniki (Annals), Polish Association of Agricultural Economists and Agribusiness - Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistow Rolnictwa e Agrobiznesu (SERiA), vol. 2021(4).
    7. Xiangdong Wang & Decheng Zhao, 2023. "Study on the Causes of Differences in Cropland Abandonment Levels among Farming Households Based on Hierarchical Linear Model—13,120 Farming Households in 26 Provinces of China as an Example," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-22, September.

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