Soybean Futures Crush Spread Arbitrage: Trading Strategies and Market Efficiency
AbstractThis paper revisits the soybean crush spread arbitrage work of Simon (1999) by studying a longer time period, wider variety of entry and exit limits, and the risk-return relationship between entry and exit limits. The lengths of winning and losing trades are found to differ systematically, with winning trades significantly shorter on average than losing trades. Exiting trades near the 5- day moving average is shown to improve trade performance relative to a reversal of sign and magnitude from the entry spread. These results lead to trading rules designed to prevent lengthy trades; however, the profitability of trading rules is found to be unstable.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by MDPI, Open Access Journal in its journal Journal of Risk and Financial Management.
Volume (Year): 3 (2010)
Issue (Month): 1 (December)
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Web page: http://www.mdpi.com/
Futures; spread; arbitrage; market efficiency; trading strategies;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
- E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
- F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
- F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
- G - Financial Economics
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