IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v13y2020i6p1378-d333122.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Regression Models for the Evaluation of the Techno-Economic Potential of Organic Rankine Cycle-Based Waste Heat Recovery Systems on Board Ships Using Low Sulfur Fuels

Author

Listed:
  • Enrico Baldasso

    (Department of Mechanical Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark)

  • Maria E. Mondejar

    (Department of Mechanical Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark)

  • Ulrik Larsen

    (Department of Administration, Copenhagen University, 1165 Copenhagen, Denmark)

  • Fredrik Haglind

    (Department of Mechanical Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark)

Abstract

When considering waste heat recovery systems for marine applications, which are estimated to be suitable to reduce the carbon dioxide emissions up to 20%, the use of organic Rankine cycle power systems has been proven to lead to higher savings compared to the traditional steam Rankine cycle. However, current methods to estimate the techno-economic feasibility of such a system are complex, computationally expensive and require significant specialized knowledge. This is the first article that presents a simplified method to carry out feasibility analyses for the implementation of organic Rankine cycle waste heat recovery units on board vessels using low-sulfur fuels. The method consists of a set of regression curves derived from a synthetic dataset obtained by evaluating the performance of organic Rankine cycle systems over a wide range of design and operating conditions. The accuracy of the proposed method is validated by comparing its estimations with the ones attained using thermodynamic models. The results of the validation procedure indicate that the proposed approach is capable of predicting the organic Rankine cycle annual energy production and levelized cost of electricity with an average accuracy within 4.5% and 2.5%, respectively. In addition, the results suggest that units optimized to minimize the levelized cost of electricity are designed for lower engine loads, compared to units optimized to maximize the overall energy production. The reliability and low computational time that characterize the proposed method, make it suitable to be used in the context of complex optimizations of the whole ship’s machinery system.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrico Baldasso & Maria E. Mondejar & Ulrik Larsen & Fredrik Haglind, 2020. "Regression Models for the Evaluation of the Techno-Economic Potential of Organic Rankine Cycle-Based Waste Heat Recovery Systems on Board Ships Using Low Sulfur Fuels," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-20, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:6:p:1378-:d:333122
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/6/1378/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/6/1378/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lecompte, S. & Huisseune, H. & van den Broek, M. & De Paepe, M., 2015. "Methodical thermodynamic analysis and regression models of organic Rankine cycle architectures for waste heat recovery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 60-76.
    2. Mondejar, M.E. & Andreasen, J.G. & Pierobon, L. & Larsen, U. & Thern, M. & Haglind, F., 2018. "A review of the use of organic Rankine cycle power systems for maritime applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 126-151.
    3. Kuo, Chi-Ron & Hsu, Sung-Wei & Chang, Kai-Han & Wang, Chi-Chuan, 2011. "Analysis of a 50kW organic Rankine cycle system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 5877-5885.
    4. Usman, Muhammad & Imran, Muhammad & Yang, Youngmin & Lee, Dong Hyun & Park, Byung-Sik, 2017. "Thermo-economic comparison of air-cooled and cooling tower based Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) with R245fa and R1233zde as candidate working fluids for different geographical climate conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 353-366.
    5. Larsen, Ulrik & Sigthorsson, Oskar & Haglind, Fredrik, 2014. "A comparison of advanced heat recovery power cycles in a combined cycle for large ships," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 260-268.
    6. Rech, Sergio & Zandarin, Simone & Lazzaretto, Andrea & Frangopoulos, Christos A., 2017. "Design and off-design models of single and two-stage ORC systems on board a LNG carrier for the search of the optimal performance and control strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 221-241.
    7. Jesper Graa Andreasen & Andrea Meroni & Fredrik Haglind, 2017. "A Comparison of Organic and Steam Rankine Cycle Power Systems for Waste Heat Recovery on Large Ships," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-23, April.
    8. Rayegan, R. & Tao, Y.X., 2011. "A procedure to select working fluids for Solar Organic Rankine Cycles (ORCs)," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 659-670.
    9. Liu, Bo-Tau & Chien, Kuo-Hsiang & Wang, Chi-Chuan, 2004. "Effect of working fluids on organic Rankine cycle for waste heat recovery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1207-1217.
    10. Francesco Baldi & Fredrik Ahlgren & Tuong-Van Nguyen & Marcus Thern & Karin Andersson, 2018. "Energy and Exergy Analysis of a Cruise Ship," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-41, September.
    11. Andreasen, J.G. & Larsen, U. & Knudsen, T. & Pierobon, L. & Haglind, F., 2014. "Selection and optimization of pure and mixed working fluids for low grade heat utilization using organic Rankine cycles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 204-213.
    12. Wang, Dongxiang & Ling, Xiang & Peng, Hao & Liu, Lin & Tao, LanLan, 2013. "Efficiency and optimal performance evaluation of organic Rankine cycle for low grade waste heat power generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 343-352.
    13. Palagi, Laura & Sciubba, Enrico & Tocci, Lorenzo, 2019. "A neural network approach to the combined multi-objective optimization of the thermodynamic cycle and the radial inflow turbine for Organic Rankine cycle applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 210-226.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andrea De Pascale, 2021. "Organic Rankine Cycle for Energy Recovery System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-3, August.
    2. Bonalumi, Davide & Giuffrida, Antonio & Sicali, Federico, 2022. "Techno-economic investigations of supercritical CO2-based partial heating cycle as bottoming system of a small gas turbine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    3. Yee Van Fan & Zorka Novak Pintarič & Jiří Jaromír Klemeš, 2020. "Emerging Tools for Energy System Design Increasing Economic and Environmental Sustainability," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-25, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xu, Weicong & Zhao, Li & Mao, Samuel S. & Deng, Shuai, 2020. "Towards novel low temperature thermodynamic cycle: A critical review originated from organic Rankine cycle," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    2. Mat Nawi, Z. & Kamarudin, S.K. & Sheikh Abdullah, S.R. & Lam, S.S., 2019. "The potential of exhaust waste heat recovery (WHR) from marine diesel engines via organic rankine cycle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 17-31.
    3. Bao, Junjiang & Zhao, Li, 2013. "A review of working fluid and expander selections for organic Rankine cycle," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 325-342.
    4. Zhu, Sipeng & Zhang, Kun & Deng, Kangyao, 2020. "A review of waste heat recovery from the marine engine with highly efficient bottoming power cycles," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    5. He, Chao & Liu, Chao & Zhou, Mengtong & Xie, Hui & Xu, Xiaoxiao & Wu, Shuangying & Li, Yourong, 2014. "A new selection principle of working fluids for subcritical organic Rankine cycle coupling with different heat sources," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 283-291.
    6. Cavazzini, G. & Bari, S. & Pavesi, G. & Ardizzon, G., 2017. "A multi-fluid PSO-based algorithm for the search of the best performance of sub-critical Organic Rankine Cycles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 42-58.
    7. Zhu, Sipeng & Ma, Zetai & Zhang, Kun & Deng, Kangyao, 2020. "Energy and exergy analysis of the combined cycle power plant recovering waste heat from the marine two-stroke engine under design and off-design conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    8. Larsen, Ulrik & Pierobon, Leonardo & Wronski, Jorrit & Haglind, Fredrik, 2014. "Multiple regression models for the prediction of the maximum obtainable thermal efficiency of organic Rankine cycles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 503-510.
    9. Yang, Lixiang & Gong, Maoqiong & Guo, Hao & Dong, Xueqiang & Shen, Jun & Wu, Jianfeng, 2016. "Effects of critical and boiling temperatures on system performance and fluid selection indicator for low temperature organic Rankine cycles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 830-844.
    10. Lee, Yuh-Ren & Kuo, Chi-Ron & Wang, Chi-Chuan, 2012. "Transient response of a 50 kW organic Rankine cycle system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 532-538.
    11. Wang, Lingbao & Bu, Xianbiao & Li, Huashan, 2020. "Multi-objective optimization and off-design evaluation of organic rankine cycle (ORC) for low-grade waste heat recovery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    12. Mohan, Sooraj & Dinesha, P. & Campana, Pietro Elia, 2022. "ANN-PSO aided selection of hydrocarbons as working fluid for low-temperature organic Rankine cycle and thermodynamic evaluation of optimal working fluid," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    13. Zinsalo, Joël M. & Lamarche, Louis & Raymond, Jasmin, 2022. "Performance analysis and working fluid selection of an Organic Rankine Cycle Power Plant coupled to an Enhanced Geothermal System," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    14. Yang, Fubin & Zhang, Hongguang & Song, Songsong & Bei, Chen & Wang, Hongjin & Wang, Enhua, 2015. "Thermoeconomic multi-objective optimization of an organic Rankine cycle for exhaust waste heat recovery of a diesel engine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 2208-2228.
    15. Long, R. & Bao, Y.J. & Huang, X.M. & Liu, W., 2014. "Exergy analysis and working fluid selection of organic Rankine cycle for low grade waste heat recovery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 475-483.
    16. Xu, Jinliang & Yu, Chao, 2014. "Critical temperature criterion for selection of working fluids for subcritical pressure Organic Rankine cycles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 719-733.
    17. Meroni, Andrea & Andreasen, Jesper Graa & Persico, Giacomo & Haglind, Fredrik, 2018. "Optimization of organic Rankine cycle power systems considering multistage axial turbine design," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 339-354.
    18. Trivyza, Nikoletta L. & Rentizelas, Athanasios & Theotokatos, Gerasimos & Boulougouris, Evangelos, 2022. "Decision support methods for sustainable ship energy systems: A state-of-the-art review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    19. Vivian, Jacopo & Manente, Giovanni & Lazzaretto, Andrea, 2015. "A general framework to select working fluid and configuration of ORCs for low-to-medium temperature heat sources," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 727-746.
    20. Li, Min & Zhao, Bingxiong, 2016. "Analytical thermal efficiency of medium-low temperature organic Rankine cycles derived from entropy-generation analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 121-130.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:6:p:1378-:d:333122. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.