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Research on Predicting Line Loss Rate in Low Voltage Distribution Network Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree

Author

Listed:
  • Mengting Yao

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Power System Optimization and Energy Technology, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)

  • Yun Zhu

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Power System Optimization and Energy Technology, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)

  • Junjie Li

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Power System Optimization and Energy Technology, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)

  • Hua Wei

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Power System Optimization and Energy Technology, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)

  • Penghui He

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Power System Optimization and Energy Technology, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China)

Abstract

Line loss rate plays an essential role in evaluating the economic operation of power systems. However, in a low voltage (LV) distribution network, calculating line loss rate has become more cumbersome due to poor configuration of the measuring and detecting device, the difficulty in collecting operational data, and the excessive number of components and nodes. Most previous studies mainly focused on the approaches to calculate or predict line loss rate, but rarely involve the evaluation of the prediction results. In this paper, we propose an approach based on a gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), to predict line loss rate. GBDT inherits the advantages of both statistical models and AI approaches, and can identify the complex and nonlinear relationship while computing the relative importance among variables. An empirical study on a data set in a city demonstrates that our proposed approach performs well in predicting line loss rate, given a large number of unlabeled examples. Experiments and analysis also confirmed the effectiveness of our proposed approach in anomaly detection and practical project management.

Suggested Citation

  • Mengting Yao & Yun Zhu & Junjie Li & Hua Wei & Penghui He, 2019. "Research on Predicting Line Loss Rate in Low Voltage Distribution Network Based on Gradient Boosting Decision Tree," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-14, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:13:p:2522-:d:244568
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bin Li & Yuxiang Tan & Qingqing Guo & Weihuan Wang, 2023. "Application of Comprehensive Evaluation of Line Loss Lean Management Based on Big-Data-Driven Paradigm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-21, August.
    2. Michał Jasiński & Tomasz Sikorski & Zbigniew Leonowicz & Klaudiusz Borkowski & Elżbieta Jasińska, 2020. "The Application of Hierarchical Clustering to Power Quality Measurements in an Electrical Power Network with Distributed Generation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-19, May.

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