IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v9y2021i1p35-d514849.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Liquidity Spill-Overs in Sovereign Bond Market: An Intra-Day Study of Trade Shocks in Calm and Stressful Market Conditions

Author

Listed:
  • Linas Jurksas

    (Finance Department, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Vilnius University, Sauletekio av. 9, 10222 Vilnius, Lithuania)

  • Deimante Teresiene

    (Finance Department, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Vilnius University, Sauletekio av. 9, 10222 Vilnius, Lithuania)

  • Rasa Kanapickiene

    (Finance Department, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Vilnius University, Sauletekio av. 9, 10222 Vilnius, Lithuania)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to determine the liquidity spillover effects of trades executed in European sovereign bond markets and to assess the driving factors behind the magnitude of the spill-overs between different markets. The one minute-frequency limit order-book dataset is constructed from mid-2011 until end-2017 for sovereign bonds from the six largest euro area countries. It is used for the event study and panel regression model. The event study results revealed that liquidity spill-over effects of trades exist and vary highly across different order types, direction and size of the trade, the maturity of traded bonds, and various markets. The panel regression model showed that less liquid bonds and bonds whose issuer is closer by distance to the country of the traded bond have more substantial spillover effects and, at the same time, are also more affected by trades executed in another market. These results should be of interest to bond market participants who want to limit the exposure to the liquidity spillover risk in bond markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Linas Jurksas & Deimante Teresiene & Rasa Kanapickiene, 2021. "Liquidity Spill-Overs in Sovereign Bond Market: An Intra-Day Study of Trade Shocks in Calm and Stressful Market Conditions," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:9:y:2021:i:1:p:35-:d:514849
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/1/35/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/1/35/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bowman, David & Londono, Juan M. & Sapriza, Horacio, 2015. "U.S. unconventional monetary policy and transmission to emerging market economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 27-59.
    2. Conall O’ Sullivan & Vassilios G. Papavassiliou, 2019. "Measuring and Analyzing Liquidity and Volatility Dynamics in the Euro-Area Government Bond Market," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sabri Boubaker & Duc Khuong Nguyen (ed.), HANDBOOK OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS Transformations, Dependence, and Risk Spillovers, chapter 15, pages 361-400, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Albagli, Elias & Ceballos, Luis & Claro, Sebastian & Romero, Damian, 2019. "Channels of US monetary policy spillovers to international bond markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 447-473.
    4. Brière, Marie & Chapelle, Ariane & Szafarz, Ariane, 2012. "No contagion, only globalization and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1729-1744.
    5. Clancy, Daragh & Dunne, Peter G. & Filiani, Pasquale, 2019. "Liquidity and tail-risk interdependencies in the euro area sovereign bond market," Research Technical Papers 11/RT/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
    6. Dungey, Mardi & Fry, Renee & Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda & Martin, Vance, 2006. "Contagion in international bond markets during the Russian and the LTCM crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-27, April.
    7. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7746 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Claeys, Peter & Vašíček, Bořek, 2014. "Measuring bilateral spillover and testing contagion on sovereign bond markets in Europe," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 151-165.
    9. Ying Jiang & Neil Kellard & Xiaoquan Liu, 2020. "Night trading and market quality: Evidence from Chinese and US precious metal futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(10), pages 1486-1507, October.
    10. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2009. "Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(6), pages 2201-2238, June.
    11. Mr. Tonny Lybek & Mr. Abdourahmane Sarr, 2002. "Measuring Liquidity in Financial Markets," IMF Working Papers 2002/232, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Moshirian, Fariborz & Qian, Xiaolin & Wee, Claudia Koon Ghee & Zhang, Bohui, 2017. "The determinants and pricing of liquidity commonality around the world," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 22-41.
    13. Broto, Carmen & Lamas, Matías, 2020. "Is market liquidity less resilient after the financial crisis? Evidence for US Treasuries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 217-229.
    14. Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
    15. Amihud, Yakov, 2002. "Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 31-56, January.
    16. Daniel Barth & Jay Kahn, 2020. "Basis Trades and Treasury Market Illiquidity," Briefs 20-01, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    17. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-1335, November.
    18. Naoshi Tsuchida & Toshiaki Watanabe & Toshinao Yoshiba, 2016. "The Intraday Market Liquidity of Japanese Government Bond Futures," IMES Discussion Paper Series 16-E-07, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    19. Tetsuo Kurosaki & Yusuke Kumano & Kota Okabe & Teppei Nagano, 2015. "Liquidity in JGB Markets: An Evaluation from Transaction Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 15-E-2, Bank of Japan.
    20. Rodrigo Cifuentes & Hyun Song Shin & Gianluigi Ferrucci, 2005. "Liquidity Risk and Contagion," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 3(2-3), pages 556-566, 04/05.
    21. Craig W. Holden & Stacey Jacobsen & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2014. "The Empirical Analysis of Liquidity," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 8(4), pages 263-365, December.
    22. Díaz, Antonio & Escribano, Ana, 2017. "Liquidity measures throughout the lifetime of the U.S. Treasury bond," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 42-74.
    23. Stephanos Papadamou & Costas Siriopoulos & Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2020. "A survey of empirical findings on unconventional central bank policies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 47(7), pages 1533-1577, April.
    24. Roberto Rigobón, 2019. "Contagion, Spillover, and Interdependence," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 69-99, April.
    25. Calice, Giovanni & Chen, Jing & Williams, Julian, 2013. "Liquidity spillovers in sovereign bond and CDS markets: An analysis of the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 122-143.
    26. Jurkšas, Linas & Kapp, Daniel & Nyholm, Ken & von Landesberger, Julian, 2018. "Euro area sovereign bond market liquidity since the start of the PSPP," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
    27. Feng He & Baiao Liu-Chen & Xiangtong Meng & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang, 2020. "Price discovery and spillover dynamics in the Chinese stock index futures market: a natural experiment on trading volume restriction," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(12), pages 2067-2083, December.
    28. Mahanti, Sriketan & Nashikkar, Amrut & Subrahmanyam, Marti & Chacko, George & Mallik, Gaurav, 2008. "Latent liquidity: A new measure of liquidity, with an application to corporate bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 272-298, May.
    29. Naoshi Tsuchida & Toshiaki Watanabe & Toshinao Yoshiba, 2016. "The Intraday Market Liquidity of Japanese Government Bond Futures," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 34, pages 67-96, November.
    30. Michael White & Paloma Taltavull de La Paz & Jens Lunde, 2018. "The Role of Liquidity in the Transmission of Volatility Across Housing Markets," ERES eres2018_142, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    31. V. Macchiati & G. Brandi & G. Cimini & G. Caldarelli & D. Paolotti & T. Di Matteo, 2019. "Systemic liquidity contagion in the European interbank market," Papers 1912.13275, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    32. Marcelo Brutti Righi & Kelmara Mendes Vieira, 2014. "Liquidity Spillover in International Stock Markets through Distinct Time Scales," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, January.
    33. M. Schneider & F. Lillo & L. Pelizzon, 2018. "Modelling illiquidity spillovers with Hawkes processes: an application to the sovereign bond market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 283-293, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jurksas Linas, 2018. "What Factors Shape the Liquidity Levels of Euro Area Sovereign Bonds?," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 154-166, December.
    2. Arthur Akhmetov & Anna Burova & Natalia Makhankova & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2021. "Measuring Market Liquidity and Liquidity Mismatches across Sectors," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps82, Bank of Russia.
    3. Grillini, Stefano & Ozkan, Aydin & Sharma, Abhijit, 2022. "Static and dynamic liquidity spillovers in the Eurozone: The role of financial contagion and the Covid-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Díaz, Antonio & Escribano, Ana, 2020. "Measuring the multi-faceted dimension of liquidity in financial markets: A literature review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    5. Byomakesh Debata & Jitendra Mahakud, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market liquidity," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(1), pages 112-135, April.
    6. Sifat, Imtiaz & Zarei, Alireza & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Interbank liquidity risk transmission to large emerging markets in crisis periods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    7. O’Sullivan, Conall & Papavassiliou, Vassilios G., 2020. "On the term structure of liquidity in the European sovereign bond market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    8. Díaz, Antonio & Escribano, Ana, 2022. "Liquidity dimensions in the U.S. corporate bond market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1163-1179.
    9. Inekwe, John Nkwoma, 2020. "Liquidity connectedness and output synchronisation," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    10. Sowmya, Subramaniam & Prasanna, Krishna & Bhaduri, Saumitra, 2016. "Linkages in the term structure of interest rates across sovereign bond markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 118-139.
    11. Vayanos, Dimitri & Wang, Jiang, 2013. "Market Liquidity—Theory and Empirical Evidence ," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1289-1361, Elsevier.
    12. Efstathios Panayi & Gareth Peters & Ioannis Kosmidis, 2014. "Liquidity commonality does not imply liquidity resilience commonality: A functional characterisation for ultra-high frequency cross-sectional LOB data," Papers 1406.5486, arXiv.org.
    13. Mark D. Flood & John C. Liechty & Thomas Piontek, 2015. "Systemwide Commonalities in Market Liquidity," Working Papers 15-11, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    14. Lim, Kian-Ping & Thian, Tze-Chung & Hooy, Chee-Wooi, 2015. "Corporate Shareholdings and the Liquidity of Malaysian Stocks: Investor Heterogeneity, Trading Account Types and the Underlying Channels," MPRA Paper 67602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2019. "The causality between liquidity and volatility in the Polish stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 110-115.
    16. Cenesizoglu, Tolga & Grass, Gunnar, 2018. "Bid- and ask-side liquidity in the NYSE limit order book," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 14-38.
    17. Hadhri, Sinda & Ftiti, Zied, 2019. "Commonality in liquidity among Middle East and North Africa emerging stock markets: Does it really matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    18. Auer, Benjamin R. & Rottmann, Horst, 2019. "Have capital market anomalies worldwide attenuated in the recent era of high liquidity and trading activity?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 61-79.
    19. Saad, Mohsen & Samet, Anis, 2017. "Liquidity and the implied cost of equity capital," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 15-38.
    20. Dick-Nielsen, Jens & Feldhütter, Peter & Lando, David, 2012. "Corporate bond liquidity before and after the onset of the subprime crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(3), pages 471-492.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:9:y:2021:i:1:p:35-:d:514849. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.