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Liquidity Risk and Contagion

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Author Info
Rodrigo Cifuentes (Banco Central de Chile,)
Hyun Song Shin (London School of Economics,)
Gianluigi Ferrucci (Bank of England,)
Abstract

This paper explores liquidity risk in a system of interconnected financial institutions when these institutions are subject to regulatory solvency constraints and mark their assets to market. When the market's demand for illiquid assets is less than perfectly elastic, sales by distressed institutions depress the market prices of such assets. Marking to market of the asset book can induce a further round of endogenously generated sales of assets, depressing prices further and inducing further sales. Contagious failures can result from small shocks. We investigate the theoretical basis for contagious failures and quantify them through simulation exercises. Liquidity requirements on institutions can be as effective as capital requirements in forestalling contagious failures. (JEL: G21, G28) Copyright (c) 2005 The European Economic Association.

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File URL: http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1162/jeea.2005.3.2-3.556
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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Journal of the European Economic Association.

Volume (Year): 3 (2005)
Issue (Month): 2-3 (04/05)
Pages: 556-566
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:jeurec:v:3:y:2005:i:2-3:p:556-566

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  1. Aikman, David & Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Eklund, Bruno & Gai, Prasanna & Kapadia, Sujit & Martin, Elizabeth & Mora, Nada & Sterne, Gabriel & Willison, Matthew, 2009. "Funding liquidity risk in a quantitative model of systemic stability," Bank of England working papers 372, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hyun Song Shin, 2005. "Financial System Liquidity, Asset prices and Monetary Policy," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Christopher Kent & David Norman (ed.), The Changing Nature of the Business Cycle Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Dimitrios Tsomocos & C.A.E. Goodhart, 2007. "Analysis of Financial Stability," OFRC Working Papers Series 2007fe04, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Boyson, Nicole M. & Stahel, Christof W. & Stulz, Rene, 2008. "Hedge Fund Contagion and Liquidity," Working Paper Series 2008-8, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Lelyveld, Iman van & Liedorp, Franka, 2004. "Interbank Contagion in the Dutch Banking Sector," MPRA Paper 651, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jul 2005. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Wenersamy Ramos de Alcântara, 2008. "An Integrated Model for Liquidity Management and Short-Term Asset Allocation in Commercial Banks," Working Papers Series 168, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  7. Eric Wong & Cho-Hoi Hui, 2009. "A Liquidity Risk Stress-Testing Framework with Interaction between Market and Credit Risks," Working Papers 0906, Hong Kong Monetary Authority. [Downloadable!]
  8. Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2009. "Complexity and Financial Panics," NBER Working Papers 14997, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Jan Willem van den End, 2008. "Liquidity Stress-Tester: A macro model for stress-testing banks' liquidity risk," DNB Working Papers 175, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  10. Júlia Király & Márton Nagy & Viktor E. Szabó, 2008. "Contagion and the beginning of the crisis – pre-Lehman period," MNB Occasional Papers 2008/76, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (The Central Bank of Hungary). [Downloadable!]
  11. Dong Chuhl Oh, 2009. "Contagion of Liquidity Crisis between Firms," Levine's Working Paper Archive 814577000000000197, David K. Levine. [Downloadable!]
  12. Kares, Alexei & Schoors , Koen & Lanine, Gleb, 2008. "Liquidity matters: Evidence from the Russian interbank market," BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2008, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Lelyveld, Iman van & Liedorp, Franka, 2006. "Interbank Contagion in the Dutch Banking Sector: A Sensitivity Analysis," MPRA Paper 806, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Dairo Estrada & Paola Morales Acevedo, . "La estructura del mercado interbancario y del riesgo de contagio en Colombia," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 030, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  15. Harald Uhlig, 2009. "A Model of a Systemic Bank Run," NBER Working Papers 15072, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. E Philip Davis, 2008. "Liquidity, Financial Crises and the Lender of Last Resort – How Much of a Departure is the Sub-prime Crisis?," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Paul Bloxham & Christopher Kent (ed.), Lessons from the Financial Turmoil of 2007 and 2008 Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  17. Boyson, Nicole & Stahel, Christof & Stulz, Rene, 2008. "Is There Hedge Fund Contagion," Working Papers 08-2, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center. [Downloadable!]
  18. Jón Daníelsson & Jean-Pierre Zigrand, 2008. "Equilibrium asset pricing with systemic risk," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 293-319, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Prasanna Gai & Sujit Kapadia & Nada Mora & Claus Puhr, 2009. "Towards a Framework for Quantifying Systemic Stability," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(3), pages 47-81, September. [Downloadable!]
  20. Ana Babus, 2006. "The Formation of Financial Networks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-093/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Kleopatra Nikolaou, 2009. "Liquidity (risk) concepts - definitions and interactions," Working Paper Series 1008, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  22. Acharya, Viral V & Shin, Hyun Song & Yorulmazer, Tanju, 2007. "Fire Sales, Foreign Entry and Bank Liquidity," CEPR Discussion Papers 6309, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  23. Nicole M. Boyson & Christof W. Stahel & Rene M. Stulz, 2008. "Hedge Fund Contagion and Liquidity," NBER Working Papers 14068, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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