IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fma/fmanag/timloughran01.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Divergence of Opinion, Uncertainty, and the Quality of Intitial Public Offerings

Author

Listed:
  • Todd Houge
  • Tim Loughran
  • Gerry Suchanek
  • Xuemin Yan

Abstract

We explore the relation between investor uncertainty, divergence of opinion, and the performance of initial public offerings (IPOs). We examine three opening-day proxies: the percentage opening spread, time of first trade, and flipping ratio. After controlling for issue quality, we find that all three variables provide significant explanatory power of IPO returns. Specifically, we associate a wide opening spread, late opening trade, and a high flipping ratio with poor long-run returns. The results support Miller (1977), who suggests that greater divergence of opinion or uncertainty about an IPO can generate short-run overvaluation and long-run underperformance.

Suggested Citation

  • Todd Houge & Tim Loughran & Gerry Suchanek & Xuemin Yan, 2001. "Divergence of Opinion, Uncertainty, and the Quality of Intitial Public Offerings," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 30(4), Winter.
    • Handle: RePEc:fma:fmanag:timloughran01
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Honghui & Zheng, Minrong, 2021. "IPO underperformance and the idiosyncratic risk puzzle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Harjeet S. Bhabra & Richard H. Pettway, 2003. "IPO Prospectus Information and Subsequent Performance," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 369-397, August.
    3. Boulton, Thomas J. & Smart, Scott B. & Zutter, Chad J., 2020. "Worldwide short selling regulations and IPO underpricing," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    4. Daniel J. Bradley & John W. Cooney Jr. & Steven D. Dolvin & Bradford D. Jordan, 2006. "Penny Stock IPOs," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 35(1), pages 5-29, March.
      • Daniel J. Bradley & John W. Cooney, Jr. & Steven D. Dolvin & Bradford D. Jordan, 2006. "Penny Stock IPOs," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 35(1), Spring.
    5. Boulton, Thomas J. & Braga-Alves, Marcus V., 2020. "Price stabilization, short selling, and IPO secondary market liquidity," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 278-291.
    6. Panos N. Patatoukas & Richard G. Sloan & Annika Yu Wang, 2022. "Valuation Uncertainty and Short-Sales Constraints: Evidence from the IPO Aftermarket," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 608-634, January.
    7. Cheedradevi Narayanasamy & Izani Ibrahim & Yeoh Ken Kyid, 2018. "Individual Investors Participation And Divergence Of Opinion In New Issue Markets: Evidence From Malaysia," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22.
    8. Boehme, Rodney & Çolak, Gönül, 2012. "Primary market characteristics and secondary market frictions of stocks," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 286-327.
    9. Tanya Gulati & S. K. Bose & Supriyo Roy, 2017. "Short selling restrictions in 2005–2009 in Indian market and underpricing of initial public offerings," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(1), pages 116-135, January.
    10. Deepika Bagchee, 2009. "Investors Adjust Expectations Around Sell‐Side Analyst Revisions In Ipo Recommendations," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 53-70, March.
    11. Chemmanur, Thomas & Yan, An, 2017. "Product market advertising, heterogeneous beliefs, and the long-run performance of initial public offerings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-24.
    12. Pegah Dehghani & Ros Zam Zam Sapian, 2014. "Sectoral herding behavior in the aftermarket of Malaysian IPOs," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 227-246, July.
    13. Jean–Sébastien Michel, 2014. "Return on Recent VC Investment and Long–Run IPO Returns," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 38(3), pages 527-549, May.
    14. Ikeda, Naoshi, 2023. "Optimism, divergence of investors’ opinions, and the long-run underperformance of IPOs," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    15. Feng, Xunan & Johansson, Anders C., 2016. "Judging a Book by Its Cover: Analysts and Attention-Driven Price Patterns in China’s IPO Market," Stockholm School of Economics Asia Working Paper Series 2016-39, Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm China Economic Research Institute.
    16. repec:ibf:ijbfre:v:11:y:2017:i:2:p:1-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Chia‐Cheng Ho & Chi‐Ling Huang & Chien‐Ting Lin & George Y.C. Lin, 2010. "Managing News Coverage around Initial Public Offerings," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 39(1), pages 187-225, March.
    18. Turan G. Bali & Andriy Bodnaruk & Anna Scherbina & Yi Tang, 2018. "Unusual News Flow and the Cross Section of Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(9), pages 4137-4155, September.
    19. Kooli, Maher & Zhou, Xiaozhou, 2020. "IPO flipping activity in China and its implications," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    20. Sung C. Bae & Kiyoung Chang & Hoje Jo, 2013. "Long-Run Stock and Operating Performance of Underwriter Warrants: Evidence from Seasoned Equity Offerings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 13(4), pages 473-501, December.
    21. Gao, Shenghao & Brockman, Paul & Meng, Qingbin & Yan, Xuemin, 2020. "Differences of opinion, institutional bids, and IPO underpricing," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    22. Feng, Xunan & Johansson, Anders C. & Wei, Dengxi, 2023. "Judging a book by its cover: Analysts and attention-driven price patterns in China's IPO market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    23. Alok R. Saboo & Anindita Chakravarty & Rajdeep Grewal, 2016. "Organizational Debut on the Public Stage: Marketing Myopia and Initial Public Offerings," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(4), pages 656-675, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fma:fmanag:timloughran01. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Courtney Connors (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fmaaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.