IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedreq/92733.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sovereign CDS Market: The Role of Dealers in Credit Events

Author

Listed:
  • Lawrence Jia
  • Bruno Sultanum
  • Elliot Tobin

Abstract

In this paper, we study the credit default swaps (CDS) position of the main dealers in the CDS market close to credit events of sovereign countries. We focus on the credit events of three countries that have faced significant financial distress in the past decade: Argentina, Venezuela, and Ukraine. After introducing the historical background of each country, we find that CDS dealers, defined as the top ten traders of CDS in their respective countries, tend to sell sovereign CDS (hold more negative or less positive positions) when yields/CDS spreads go up. This finding suggests that dealers perform the role of liquidity providers in times of financial distress and take the credit risk that smaller traders want to unload into the market.

Suggested Citation

  • Lawrence Jia & Bruno Sultanum & Elliot Tobin, 2020. "Sovereign CDS Market: The Role of Dealers in Credit Events," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 3, pages 97-113.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedreq:92733
    DOI: 10.21144/eq1060301
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.richmondfed.org/-/media/richmondfedorg/publications/research/economic_quarterly/2020/q3/sultanum.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.21144/eq1060301?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Salomao, Juliana, 2017. "Sovereign debt renegotiation and credit default swaps," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 50-63.
    2. Goderis, Benedikt & Wagner, Wolf, 2009. "Credit Derivatives and Sovereign Debt Crises," MPRA Paper 17314, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Batchimeg Sambalaibat, 2012. "Credit Default Swaps and Sovereign Debt with Moral Hazard and Debt Renegotiation," 2012 Meeting Papers 1093, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Virginie Coudert & Mathieu Gex, 2010. "The Credit Default Swap Market and the Settlement of Large Defaults," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 123, pages 91-120.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mikhail Chernov & Alexander S. Gorbenko & Igor Makarov, 2013. "CDS Auctions," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(3), pages 768-805.
    2. Augustin, Patrick & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Tang, Dragon Yongjun & Wang, Sarah Qian, 2014. "Credit Default Swaps: A Survey," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 9(1-2), pages 1-196, December.
    3. Michinao Okachi, 2019. "Sovereign Default Triggered by Inability to Repay Debt," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-10, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    4. Vuillemey, Guillaume & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2015. "Disentangling the bond–CDS nexus: A stress test model of the CDS market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 32-45.
    5. Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2021. "Disastrous Defaults [Risk premia and term premia in general equilibrium]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1727-1772.
    6. Patrick Augustin, 2012. "Sovereign Credit Default Swap Premia," Working Papers 12-10, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    7. Coudert, V. & Gex, M., 2013. "Why the Greek CDS settlement did not lead to the feared meltdown," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 17, pages 135-150, April.
    8. Bernardo Guimaraes & Lucas Tumkus, 2020. "On the costs of sovereign default in quantitative models," Discussion Papers 2021, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    9. Kitty Moloney & Oisin Kenny & Neill Killeen, 2016. "Network analysis using EMIR credit default swap data: micro-level evidence from Irish-domiciled special purpose vehicles (SPVs)," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Bocola, Luigi & Bornstein, Gideon & Dovis, Alessandro, 2019. "Quantitative sovereign default models and the European debt crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 20-30.
    11. Florent Kanga GBONGUE & Lambert N’Galadjo BAMBA, 2023. "Le modèle hybride de la structure par terme des primes souveraines de crédit et de liquidité dans la zone UEMOA," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 57, pages 101-145.
    12. Arping, Stefan, 2014. "Credit protection and lending relationships," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 7-19.
    13. Ma, Jason Z. & Deng, Xiang & Ho, Kung-Cheng & Tsai, Sang-Bing, 2018. "Regime-switching determinants of emerging markets sovereign credit risk swaps spread," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-52, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    14. Dimpfl Thomas & Peter Franziska Julia, 2013. "Using transfer entropy to measure information flows between financial markets," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 85-102, February.
    15. Bratis, Theodoros & Laopodis, Nikiforos T. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2020. "Systemic risk and financial stability dynamics during the Eurozone debt crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    16. Erica Paulos & Bruno Sultanum & Elliot Tobin, 2019. "CDS Auctions: An Overview," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 2Q, pages 105-132.
    17. Agata Kliber & Barbara Bedowska-Sojka, 2013. "Economic Situation of the Country or Risk in the World Financial Market? The Dynamics of Polish Sovereign Credit Default Swap Spreads," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 13, pages 87-106.
    18. Anouk Levels & René de Sousa van Stralen & Sînziana Kroon Petrescu & Iman van Lelyveld, 2018. "CDS market structure and risk flows: the Dutch case," DNB Working Papers 592, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    19. Gaston Chaumont & Grey Gordon & Bruno Sultanum & Elliot Tobin, 2023. "Sovereign Debt and Credit Default Swaps," Working Paper 23-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    20. Clark, Brian & Donato, James & Francis, Bill B & Shohfi, Thomas D, 2023. "Bank loan renegotiation and credit default swaps," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedreq:92733. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christian Pascasio (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbrius.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.