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Asymmetric Monetary Policy in the Czech Republic?

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Author Info
Roman Horváth () (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic, Czech National Bank)

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Abstract

This paper analyses the hypothesis of whether asymmetric monetary policy could have contributed to the undershooting of the inflation targets of the Czech National Bank in the years 1998–2007. To this end, a non-linear Taylor Rule is estimated. The results indicate that from 1998 to about 2002, the Czech National Bank responded more aggressively to forecasts of inflation exceeding the target than to those below the target. There is, however, no evidence for asymmetric monetary policy in estimates of the monetary policy rule derived from more recent data. This suggests that symmetric handling of the inflation targets prevailed in the past several years.

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File URL: http://journal.fsv.cuni.cz/mag/article/show/id/1144
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences in its journal Finance a uver - Czech Journal of Economics and Finance.

Volume (Year): 58 (2008)
Issue (Month): 09-10 (December)
Pages: 470-481
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Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:58:y:2008:i:9-10:p:470-481

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Related research
Keywords: monetary policy; inflation targeting; undershooting;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Juan Dolado & Ramón María-Dolores Pedrero & Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia, 2004. "Nonlinear Monetary Policy Rules: Some New Evidence for the U.S," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 8(3). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Roman Horvath, 2007. "The Time-Varying Policy Neutral Rate in Real Time: A Predictor for Future Inflation?," Working Papers 2007/4, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Alex Cukierman & Anton Muscatelli, 2008. "Nonlinear Taylor Rules and Asymmetric Preferences in Central Banking: Evidence from the United Kingdom and the United States," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 8(1). [Downloadable!]
  4. Frédérique Bec & Mélika Ben Salem & Fabrice Collard, 2002. "Asymmetries in Monetary Policy Reaction Function: Evidence for U.S. French and German Central Banks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 6(2). [Downloadable!]
  5. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2006. "Monetary Policy Inertia: Fact or Fiction?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Podpiera, Jirí, 2008. "The role of ad hoc factors in policy rate settings," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 1003-1010, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Joaquim J.S. Ramalho, 2005. "Small Sample Bias of Alternative Estimation Methods for Moment Condition Models: Monte Carlo Evidence for Covariance Structures," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 9(1). [Downloadable!]
  8. Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998. "Monetary policy rules in practice Some international evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1033-1067, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-20.


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