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Impacto económico de alternativas de inversión para el sistema de pensiones en México. (Economic impact assessment of alternative investment scenarios for pension funds in Mexico)

Author

Listed:
  • Lillian Marlen Centeno Cruz

    (Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Escuela Superior de Economía. México.)

  • Pilar Campoy Muñoz

    (Universidad Loyola Andalucía. España.)

  • Gerardo Ángeles Castro

    (Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Escuela Superior de Economía. México.)

Abstract

Actualmente, el sistema de pensiones en México, basado en la Ley del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social de 1997, no cumple con la tasa de cobertura prevista, lo que provoca el empobrecimiento de la población retirada. Se espera que esta situación empeore debido a que los trabajadores no pueden contribuir lo suficiente a sus propias cuentas de ahorro dentro del sistema actual. La presente investigación contribuye al debate sobre las reformas del sistema de pensiones a través de la evaluación de escenarios alternativos para la inversión de fondos de pensiones. Estos escenarios son generados mediante el análisis estructural de la economía mexicana, tomando como base la Matriz de Contabilidad Social (MCS) denominada SAMMEX-12. A continuación, se emplea un modelo lineal MCS para llevar a cabo una evaluación de impacto económico, lo que permite evaluar dichas escenarios en términos de producción, PIB y empleo.

Suggested Citation

  • Lillian Marlen Centeno Cruz & Pilar Campoy Muñoz & Gerardo Ángeles Castro, 2019. "Impacto económico de alternativas de inversión para el sistema de pensiones en México. (Economic impact assessment of alternative investment scenarios for pension funds in Mexico)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 87-134, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxxviii:y:2019:i:1:p:87-134
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Modelo lineal MCS; Planes de Retiro y Pensiones Privadas;

    JEL classification:

    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • J32 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits; Retirement Plans; Private Pensions

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