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Inferring origin-destination pairs and utility-based travel preferences of shared mobility system users in a multi-modal environment

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  • Kumar, Anshuman Anjani
  • Kang, Jee Eun
  • Kwon, Changhyun
  • Nikolaev, Alexander

Abstract

This paper presents a methodological framework to identify population-wide traveler type distribution and simultaneously infer individual travelers’ Origin-Destination (OD) pairs, based on the individual records of a shared mobility (bike) system use in a multimodal travel environment. Given the information about the travelers’ outbound and inbound bike stations under varied price settings, the developed Selective Set Expectation Maximization (SSEM) algorithm infers an underlying distribution of travelers over the given traveler “types,” or “classes,” treating each traveler’s OD pair as a latent variable; the inferred most likely traveler type for each traveler then informs their most likely OD pair. The experimental results based on simulated data demonstrate high SSEM learning accuracy both on the aggregate and dissagregate levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumar, Anshuman Anjani & Kang, Jee Eun & Kwon, Changhyun & Nikolaev, Alexander, 2016. "Inferring origin-destination pairs and utility-based travel preferences of shared mobility system users in a multi-modal environment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 270-291.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:91:y:2016:i:c:p:270-291
    DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2016.05.015
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    2. Wu, Laiyun & Kang, Jee Eun & Chung, Younshik & Nikolaev, Alexander, 2021. "Inferring origin-Destination demand and user preferences in a multi-modal travel environment using automated fare collection data," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    3. Biehl, Alec & Ermagun, Alireza & Stathopoulos, Amanda, 2019. "Utilizing multi-stage behavior change theory to model the process of bike share adoption," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 30-45.
    4. Biehl, Alec & Ermagun, Alireza & Stathopoulos, Amanda, 2018. "Community mobility MAUP-ing: A socio-spatial investigation of bikeshare demand in Chicago," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 80-90.
    5. Kalahasthi, Lokesh & Holguín-Veras, José & Yushimito, Wilfredo F., 2022. "A freight origin-destination synthesis model with mode choice," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    6. Li, Tao & Wan, Yan, 2019. "Estimating the geographic distribution of originating air travel demand using a bi-level optimization model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 267-291.

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