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A modelling framework to forecast urban goods flows

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  • Comi, Antonio

Abstract

After investigating the suitability of using assessment procedures which include goods demand models, this paper examines the activities and decision makers involved in urban goods movements, showing the need to use an integrated modelling approach. Models developed for estimating origin-destination goods flows are then reviewed. A modelling framework for the ex-ante assessment of planning effects is then presented, taking due consideration of the integration among purchasing and restocking, and the behaviours of the decision makers involved, such as end consumers (in-store and e-shopping) and retailers. Some examples of aggregate purchase generation, purchase trips and restocking models as well as case studies are then presented. Finally, some considerations are made and conclusions are drawn.

Suggested Citation

  • Comi, Antonio, 2020. "A modelling framework to forecast urban goods flows," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:80:y:2020:i:c:s0739885920300160
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2020.100827
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    7. Alexander Rossolov & Halyna Rossolova & José Holguín-Veras, 2021. "Online and in-store purchase behavior: shopping channel choice in a developing economy," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(6), pages 3143-3179, December.
    8. Tomislav Letnik & Matej Mencinger & Iztok Peruš, 2020. "Flexible Assignment of Loading Bays for Efficient Vehicle Routing in Urban Last Mile Delivery," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    9. Galkin Andrii & Zaytsev Vitaliy & Shyshkin Viktor & Obolentseva Larysa & Popova Yuliia, 2021. "Patterns of the Distribution of the Demand of End-Consumers among Retailers in the Zone of their Residence," Foundations of Management, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 145-158, January.
    10. Wang, Xueqin & Wong, Yiik Diew & Shi, Wenming & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2022. "Shoppers’ logistics activities in omni-channel retailing: A conceptualisation and an exploration on perceptual differences in effort valuation," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 195-208.

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