IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v566y2021ics0378437120309031.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Construction of minimum spanning trees from financial returns using rank correlation

Author

Listed:
  • Millington, Tristan
  • Niranjan, Mahesan

Abstract

The construction of minimum spanning trees (MSTs) from correlation matrices is an often used method to study relationships in the financial markets. However most of the work on this topic tends to use the Pearson correlation coefficient, which relies on the assumption of normality and can be brittle to the presence of outliers, neither of which is ideal for the study of financial returns. In this paper we study the inference of MSTs from daily US, UK and German financial returns using Pearson and two rank correlation methods, Spearman and Kendall’s τ. MSTs constructed using these rank methods tend to be more stable and maintain more edges over the dataset than those constructed using Pearson correlation. The edge agreement between the Pearson and rank MSTs varies significantly depending on the state of the markets, but the rank MSTs generally show strong agreement at all times. Deviation from univariate normality can be related to changes in the correlation matrices but is more difficult to connect to changes in the MSTs. Irrelevant of coefficient, the trees tend to have similar topologies. Portfolios constructed from the MST correlation matrices have a smaller turnover than those from the full covariance matrix for the larger markets, but not for the smaller German market. Using a bootstrap method we find that the correlation matrices constructed using the rank correlations are more robust, but there is little difference between the robustness of the MSTs.

Suggested Citation

  • Millington, Tristan & Niranjan, Mahesan, 2021. "Construction of minimum spanning trees from financial returns using rank correlation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:566:y:2021:i:c:s0378437120309031
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2020.125605
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437120309031
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2020.125605?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Miccichè, Salvatore & Bonanno, Giovanni & Lillo, Fabrizio & N. Mantegna, Rosario, 2003. "Degree stability of a minimum spanning tree of price return and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 66-73.
    2. Kocheturov, Anton & Batsyn, Mikhail & Pardalos, Panos M., 2014. "Dynamics of cluster structures in a financial market network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 523-533.
    3. Jung, Woo-Sung & Kwon, Okyu & Wang, Fengzhong & Kaizoji, Taisei & Moon, Hie-Tae & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2008. "Group dynamics of the Japanese market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(2), pages 537-542.
    4. R. Mantegna, 1999. "Hierarchical structure in financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 11(1), pages 193-197, September.
    5. F. Pozzi & T. Matteo & T. Aste, 2012. "Exponential smoothing weighted correlations," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 85(6), pages 1-21, June.
    6. Jung, Woo-Sung & Chae, Seungbyung & Yang, Jae-Suk & Moon, Hie-Tae, 2006. "Characteristics of the Korean stock market correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 361(1), pages 263-271.
    7. Coelho, R. & Hutzler, S. & Repetowicz, P. & Richmond, P., 2007. "Sector analysis for a FTSE portfolio of stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 373(C), pages 615-626.
    8. Stosic, Darko & Stosic, Dusan & Ludermir, Teresa B. & Stosic, Tatijana, 2018. "Collective behavior of cryptocurrency price changes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 499-509.
    9. Laurent Laloux & Pierre Cizeau & Marc Potters & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2000. "Random Matrix Theory And Financial Correlations," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 391-397.
    10. Xue Guo & Hu Zhang & Tianhai Tian, 2018. "Development of stock correlation networks using mutual information and financial big data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(4), pages 1-16, April.
    11. Paweł Fiedor, 2014. "Information-theoretic approach to lead-lag effect on financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 87(8), pages 1-9, August.
    12. Song, Jung Yoon & Chang, Woojin & Song, Jae Wook, 2019. "Cluster analysis on the structure of the cryptocurrency market via Bitcoin–Ethereum filtering," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 527(C).
    13. Yiting Zhang & Gladys Hui Ting Lee & Jian Cheng Wong & Jun Liang Kok & Manamohan Prusty & Siew Ann Cheong, 2010. "Will the US Economy Recover in 2010? A Minimal Spanning Tree Study," Papers 1009.5800, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2010.
    14. Tumminello, Michele & Lillo, Fabrizio & Mantegna, Rosario N., 2010. "Correlation, hierarchies, and networks in financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 40-58, July.
    15. Oleg Shirokikh & Grigory Pastukhov & Vladimir Boginski & Sergiy Butenko, 2013. "Computational study of the US stock market evolution: a rank correlation-based network model," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 81-103, June.
    16. Dror Y Kenett & Michele Tumminello & Asaf Madi & Gitit Gur-Gershgoren & Rosario N Mantegna & Eshel Ben-Jacob, 2010. "Dominating Clasp of the Financial Sector Revealed by Partial Correlation Analysis of the Stock Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(12), pages 1-14, December.
    17. Nicolò Musmeci & Vincenzo Nicosia & Tomaso Aste & Tiziana Di Matteo & Vito Latora, 2017. "The Multiplex Dependency Structure of Financial Markets," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-13, September.
    18. Onnela, J.-P. & Chakraborti, A. & Kaski, K. & Kertész, J., 2003. "Dynamic asset trees and Black Monday," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 247-252.
    19. Drożdż, S & Grümmer, F & Górski, A.Z & Ruf, F & Speth, J, 2000. "Dynamics of competition between collectivity and noise in the stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 440-449.
    20. Musciotto, F. & Marotta, L. & Miccichè, S. & Mantegna, R.N., 2018. "Bootstrap validation of links of a minimum spanning tree," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 1032-1043.
    21. Zhang, Yiting & Lee, Gladys Hui Ting & Wong, Jian Cheng & Kok, Jun Liang & Prusty, Manamohan & Cheong, Siew Ann, 2011. "Will the US economy recover in 2010? A minimal spanning tree study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(11), pages 2020-2050.
    22. Gang-Jin Wang & Chi Xie & H. Eugene Stanley, 2018. "Correlation Structure and Evolution of World Stock Markets: Evidence from Pearson and Partial Correlation-Based Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(3), pages 607-635, March.
    23. Tola, Vincenzo & Lillo, Fabrizio & Gallegati, Mauro & Mantegna, Rosario N., 2008. "Cluster analysis for portfolio optimization," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 235-258, January.
    24. R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
    25. J.-P. Onnela & K. Kaski & J. Kertész, 2004. "Clustering and information in correlation based financial networks," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 38(2), pages 353-362, March.
    26. Namaki, A. & Shirazi, A.H. & Raei, R. & Jafari, G.R., 2011. "Network analysis of a financial market based on genuine correlation and threshold method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3835-3841.
    27. Musmeci, Nicoló & Nicosia, Vincenzo & Aste, Tomaso & Di Matteo, Tiziana & Latora, Vito, 2017. "The multiplex dependency structure of financial markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 85337, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    28. Boginski, Vladimir & Butenko, Sergiy & Pardalos, Panos M., 2005. "Statistical analysis of financial networks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 431-443, February.
    29. Peralta, Gustavo & Zareei, Abalfazl, 2016. "A network approach to portfolio selection," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 157-180.
    30. Coletti, Paolo, 2016. "Comparing minimum spanning trees of the Italian stock market using returns and volumes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 246-261.
    31. N. Vandewalle & F. Brisbois & X. Tordoir, 2001. "Non-random topology of stock markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(3), pages 372-374, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nie, Chun-Xiao, 2022. "Analysis of critical events in the correlation dynamics of cryptocurrency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).
    2. Wu, Fei & Xiao, Xuanqi & Zhou, Xinyu & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Complex risk contagions among large international energy firms: A multi-layer network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Jiang, Cheng & Sun, Qian & Ye, Tanglin & Wang, Qingyun, 2023. "Identification of systemically important financial institutions in a multiplex financial network: A multi-attribute decision-based approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 611(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tristan Millington & Mahesan Niranjan, 2020. "Construction of Minimum Spanning Trees from Financial Returns using Rank Correlation," Papers 2005.03963, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    2. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    3. Millington, Tristan & Niranjan, Mahesan, 2021. "Stability and similarity in financial networks—How do they change in times of turbulence?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    4. Cheong, Siew Ann & Fornia, Robert Paulo & Lee, Gladys Hui Ting & Kok, Jun Liang & Yim, Woei Shyr & Xu, Danny Yuan & Zhang, Yiting, 2011. "The Japanese economy in crises: A time series segmentation study," Economics Discussion Papers 2011-24, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Zhang, Yiting & Lee, Gladys Hui Ting & Wong, Jian Cheng & Kok, Jun Liang & Prusty, Manamohan & Cheong, Siew Ann, 2011. "Will the US economy recover in 2010? A minimal spanning tree study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(11), pages 2020-2050.
    6. Sandoval, Leonidas & Franca, Italo De Paula, 2012. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(1), pages 187-208.
    7. Esmalifalak, Hamidreza, 2022. "Euclidean (dis)similarity in financial network analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Nie, Chun-Xiao, 2022. "Analysis of critical events in the correlation dynamics of cryptocurrency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).
    9. Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Italo De Paula Franca, 2011. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Papers 1102.1339, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    10. Teh, Boon Kin & Goo, Yik Wen & Lian, Tong Wei & Ong, Wei Guang & Choi, Wen Ting & Damodaran, Mridula & Cheong, Siew Ann, 2015. "The Chinese Correction of February 2007: How financial hierarchies change in a market crash," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 424(C), pages 225-241.
    11. Pang, Raymond Ka-Kay & Granados, Oscar M. & Chhajer, Harsh & Legara, Erika Fille T., 2021. "An analysis of network filtering methods to sovereign bond yields during COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    12. Tu, Chengyi, 2014. "Cointegration-based financial networks study in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 402(C), pages 245-254.
    13. khoojine, Arash Sioofy & Han, Dong, 2019. "Network analysis of the Chinese stock market during the turbulence of 2015–2016 using log-returns, volumes and mutual information," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1091-1109.
    14. Sandoval, Leonidas, 2014. "To lag or not to lag? How to compare indices of stock markets that operate on different times," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 227-243.
    15. Yong Tang & Jason Jie Xiong & Zi-Yang Jia & Yi-Cheng Zhang, 2018. "Complexities in Financial Network Topological Dynamics: Modeling of Emerging and Developed Stock Markets," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-31, November.
    16. Cheong, Siew Ann & Fornia, Robert Paulo & Lee, Gladys Hui Ting & Kok, Jun Liang & Yim, Woei Shyr & Xu, Danny Yuan & Zhang, Yiting, 2012. "The Japanese economy in crises: A time series segmentation study," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-81.
    17. Sandoval, Leonidas, 2012. "Pruning a minimum spanning tree," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(8), pages 2678-2711.
    18. Djauhari, Maman Abdurachman & Gan, Siew Lee, 2015. "Optimality problem of network topology in stocks market analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 108-114.
    19. Nicoló Musmeci & Tomaso Aste & T Di Matteo, 2015. "Relation between Financial Market Structure and the Real Economy: Comparison between Clustering Methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-24, March.
    20. Erick Treviño Aguilar, 2020. "The interdependency structure in the Mexican stock exchange: A network approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-31, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:566:y:2021:i:c:s0378437120309031. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.