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Exchange rate rebounds after foreign exchange market interventions

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  • Hoshikawa, Takeshi

Abstract

This study examined the rebounds in the exchange rate after foreign exchange intervention. When intervention is strongly effective, the exchange rate rebounds at next day. The effect of intervention is reduced slightly by the rebound after the intervention. The exchange rate might have been 67.12–77.47 yen to a US dollar without yen-selling/dollar-purchasing intervention of 74,691,100 million yen implemented by the Japanese government since 1991, in comparison to the actual exchange rate was 103.19 yen to the US dollar at the end of March 2014.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoshikawa, Takeshi, 2017. "Exchange rate rebounds after foreign exchange market interventions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 102-110.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:469:y:2017:i:c:p:102-110
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.11.044
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shinji Takagi, 2014. "The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Market Intervention: A Review of Post-2001 Studies on Japan," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 3, pages 84-100.
    2. Kathryn M.E. Dominguez & Rasmus Fatum & Pavel Vacek, 2013. "Do Sales of Foreign Exchange Reserves Lead to Currency Appreciation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(5), pages 867-890, August.
    3. Mark P. Taylor & Lucio Sarno, 2001. "Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market: Is It Effective and, If So, How Does It Work?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 39(3), pages 839-868, September.
    4. Takeshi Hoshikawa & Keiko Yamaguchi, 2013. "A note on the yen/dollar rate without foreign exchange intervention," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 238-243, February.
    5. repec:mcb:jmoncb:v:45:y:2013:i::p:867-890 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    7. Hoshikawa, Takeshi, 2008. "The effect of intervention frequency on the foreign exchange market: The Japanese experience," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 547-559, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Takeshi Hoshikawa & Taiyo Yoshimi, 2021. "The Effect of the COVID‐19 Pandemic on South Korea's Stock Market and Exchange Rate," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 59(2), pages 206-222, June.
    2. Kitamura, Yoshihiro, 2020. "A lesson from the four recent large public Japanese FX interventions," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Mustapha A. Akinkunmi, 2017. "Rebound Effects of Exchange Rate and Central Bank Interventions in Selected ECOWAS Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 489-500.

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