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Policy change and lead-lag relations among China's segmented stock markets

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Author Info

  • Qiao, Zhuo
  • Li, Yuming
  • Wong, Wing-Keung

Abstract

This paper uses linear and nonlinear Granger causality tests to study the lead-lag relations among China's segmented stock markets. In contrast to the weak lead-lag relation among A- and B-share markets disclosed by its linear counterpart, a nonlinear causality test provides evidence of strong bi-directional causal relations between two A-share markets as well as between two B-share markets. In addition, the evidence shows that since the implementation of a new policy allowing domestic citizens to invest in B-share markets, A-share markets tend to lead their B-share counterparts in the same stock exchange and B-share markets continue to lead the H-share market.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Multinational Financial Management.

Volume (Year): 18 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 276-289

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Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:18:y:2008:i:3:p:276-289

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/mulfin

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Cited by:
  1. Bai, Zhidong & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhang, Bingzhi, 2010. "Multivariate linear and nonlinear causality tests," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 5-17.
  2. Weber, Enzo & Zhang, Yanqun, 2012. "Common influences, spillover and integration in Chinese stock markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 382-394.
  3. Guorui Bian & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2010. "Robust Estimation and Forecasting of the Capital Asset Pricing Model," KIER Working Papers 735, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  4. Bai, Zhidong & Li, Heng & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhang, Bingzhi, 2011. "Multivariate causality tests with simulation and application," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1063-1071, August.
  5. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2009. "The random walk hypothesis for Chinese stock markets: Evidence from variance ratio tests," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 117-126, June.
  6. Liu, Li & Wan, Jieqiu, 2012. "The relationships between Shanghai stock market and CNY/USD exchange rate: New evidence based on cross-correlation analysis, structural cointegration and nonlinear causality test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(23), pages 6051-6059.

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