IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/matcom/v79y2009i8p2633-2653.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Testing for expected return and market price of risk in Chinese A and B share markets: A geometric Brownian motion and multivariate GARCH model approach

Author

Listed:
  • Zhu, Jie

Abstract

There exist dual listed stocks which are issued by the same company in some stock markets. Although these stocks bare the same firm-specific risks and enjoy identical dividends and voting policies, they are priced differently. Some previous studies show this seeming deviation from the law of one price can be solved by allowing different expected returns and market prices of risk for investors holding heterogeneous beliefs. This paper provides empirical evidence for that argument by testing the expected return and market price of risk between Chinese A and B shares listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Models with dynamic of Geometric Brownian Motion are adopted. Multivariate GARCH models are also introduced to capture the feature of time-varying volatility in stock returns. The results suggest that the different pricing can be explained by the difference in expected returns between A and B shares. However, the difference between market price of risk is insignificant for both markets if GARCH models are adopted.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhu, Jie, 2009. "Testing for expected return and market price of risk in Chinese A and B share markets: A geometric Brownian motion and multivariate GARCH model approach," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2633-2653.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2009:i:8:p:2633-2653
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.12.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378475408004205
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.matcom.2008.12.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andy C. W. Chui & Chuck C. Y. Kwok, 1998. "Cross-Autocorrelation Between A Shares And B Shares In The Chinese Stock Market," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 21(3), pages 333-353, September.
    2. Stulz, René M, 1995. "Foreign Equity Investment Restrictions, Capital Flight, and Shareholder Wealth Maximization," CEPR Discussion Papers 1208, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. G. M. Chen & Bong‐Soo Lee & Oliver Rui, 2001. "Foreign Ownership Restrictions And Market Segmentation In China'S Stock Markets," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 24(1), pages 133-155, March.
    4. Harrison Hong & José Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2006. "Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1073-1117, June.
    5. Chui, Andy C W & Kwok, Chuck C Y, 1998. "Cross-Autocorrelation between A Shares and B Shares in the Chinese Stock Market," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 21(3), pages 333-353, Fall.
    6. Bailey, Warren & Chung, Y. Peter & Kang, Jun-koo, 1999. "Foreign Ownership Restrictions and Equity Price Premiums: What Drives the Demand for Cross-Border Investments?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(4), pages 489-511, December.
    7. Bailey, Warren & Jagtiani, Julapa, 1994. "Foreign ownership restrictions and stock prices in the Thai capital market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 57-87, August.
    8. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    9. John Fernald & John H. Rogers, 2002. "Puzzles In The Chinese Stock Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(3), pages 416-432, August.
    10. Chakravarty, Sugato & Sarkar, Asani & Wu, Lifan, 1998. "Information asymmetry, market segmentation and the pricing of cross-listed shares: theory and evidence from Chinese A and B shares," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 8(3-4), pages 325-356, December.
    11. Pekka T. Hietala, 1989. "Asset Pricing in Partially Segmented Markets: Evidence from the Finnish Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 44(3), pages 697-718, July.
    12. Jian Yang, 2003. "Market Segmentation and Information Asymmetry in Chinese Stock Markets: A VAR Analysis," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 591-609, November.
    13. Su, Dongwei, 1999. "Ownership Restrictions and Stock Prices: Evidence from Chinese Markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 34(2), pages 37-56, May.
    14. Domowitz, Ian & Glen, Jack & Madhavan, Ananth, 1997. "Market Segmentation and Stock Prices: Evidence from an Emerging Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 1059-1085, July.
    15. Gita Persand & Chris Brooks & Simon P. Burke, 2003. "Multivariate GARCH models: software choice and estimation issues," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(6), pages 725-734.
    16. Lam, Swee-Sum & Pak, Hoe-Soon, 1993. "A note on capital market segmentation: new tests and evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 263-276, September.
    17. Basak, Suleyman, 2005. "Asset pricing with heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2849-2881, November.
    18. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
    19. Jose A. Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2003. "Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 111(6), pages 1183-1219, December.
    20. Chen, G M & Lee, Bong-Soo & Rui, Oliver, 2001. "Foreign Ownership Restrictions and Market Segmentation in China's Stock Markets," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 24(1), pages 133-155, Spring.
    21. Stulz, Rene M & Wasserfallen, Walter, 1995. "Foreign Equity Investment Restrictions, Capital Flight, and Shareholder Wealth Maximization: Theory and Evidence," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 8(4), pages 1019-1057.
    22. Sun, Qian & Tong, Wilson H. S., 2000. "The effect of market segmentation on stock prices: The China syndrome," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(12), pages 1875-1902, December.
    23. Bailey, Warren, 1994. "Risk and return on China's new stock markets: Some preliminary evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 2(2-3), pages 243-260, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. John Francis Diaz & Peh Ying Qian & Genevieve Liao Tan, 2018. "Variance Persistence in the Greater China Region: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 23(2), pages 49-68, July-Dec.
    2. Lin, Saiyan & Chen, Rongda & Lv, Zhihong & Zhou, Tianqing & Jin, Chenglu, 2019. "Integrated measurement of liquidity risk and market risk of company bonds based on the optimal Copula model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Li, Johnny Siu-Hang & Ng, Andrew C.Y. & Chan, Wai-Sum, 2015. "Managing financial risk in Chinese stock markets: Option pricing and modeling under a multivariate threshold autoregression," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 217-230.
    4. John Francis T. Diaz, 2018. "Volatility Dynamics in the ASEAN– China Free Trade Agreement," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(3), pages 287-306, December.
    5. Allen, David E. & Gao, Jiti & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "Modelling and managing financial risk: An overview," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2521-2524.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jie Zhu, 2008. "Testing for Expected Return and Market Price of Risk in Chinese A-B Share Market: A Geometric Brownian Motion and Multivariate GARCH Model Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2008-15, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    2. Yang, Ting & Lau, Sie Ting, 2005. "U.S. cross-listing and China's B-share discount," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 15(4-5), pages 334-353, October.
    3. Bae, Sung C. & Li, Mingsheng & Shi, Jing, 2009. "Does the law of one price hold better under a flexible exchange rate system?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 306-322, October.
    4. Doukas, John A. & Wang, Liu, 2013. "Information asymmetry, price discovery, and the Chinese B-share discount puzzle," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1116-1135.
    5. Tong, Wilson H.S. & Yu, Wayne W., 2012. "A corporate governance explanation of the A-B share discount in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 125-147.
    6. Jianping Mei & Jose Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2005. "Speculative Trading and Stock Prices: An Analysis of Chinese A-B Share Premia," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000867, UCLA Department of Economics.
    7. Jiao, Feng & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman & Wang, Zhiqin, 2022. "Price disparity between Chinese A- and H-shares: Dividends, currency values, and the interest rate differential," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Deng, Lu & Liao, Mingqing & Luo, Rui & Sun, Jianfei & Xu, Chen, 2021. "Does corporate social responsibility reduce share price premium? Evidence from China's A- and H-shares," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    9. Donald Lien & Chun-Da Chen, 2020. "B-share discount puzzle in China: a revisit of dual-share firms," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 14(5), pages 1047-1075, October.
    10. Darrat, Ali F. & Gilley, Otis & Wu, Yanhui & Zhong, Maosen, 2010. "On the Chinese B-share price discount puzzle: Some new evidence," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(8), pages 895-902, August.
    11. Wang, Steven Shuye & Jiang, Li, 2004. "Location of trade, ownership restrictions, and market illiquidity: Examining Chinese A- and H-shares," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1273-1297, June.
    12. Chan, Kam C. & Fung, Hung-Gay & Thapa, Samanta, 2007. "China financial research: A review and synthesis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 416-428.
    13. Li, Lianfa & Fleisher, Belton M., 2004. "Heterogeneous expectations and stock prices in segmented markets: application to Chinese firms," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 521-538, September.
    14. Li, Yuming & Yan, Daying & Greco, Joe, 2006. "Market segmentation and price differentials between A shares and H shares in the Chinese stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 232-248, July.
    15. Fung, Joseph K.W. & Girardin, Eric & Hua, Jian, 2022. "How does the exchange-rate regime affect dual-listed share price parity? Evidence from China’s A- and H-share markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    16. Alhaj-Yaseen, Yaseen S. & Barkoulas, John T. & Ouandlous, Arav, 2020. "Liberalization and asymmetric information flow dynamics in the Chinese equity markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    17. John Fernald & John H. Rogers, 2002. "Puzzles In The Chinese Stock Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(3), pages 416-432, August.
    18. Jian Yang, 2003. "Market Segmentation and Information Asymmetry in Chinese Stock Markets: A VAR Analysis," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 591-609, November.
    19. Kalok Chan & Johnny K.H. Kwok, 2005. "Market Segmentation and Share Price Premium," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 4(1), pages 43-61, April.
    20. Lin Guo & Liang Tang & Shiawee Yang, 2013. "Corporate governance and market segmentation: evidence from the price difference between Chinese A and H shares," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 385-416, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    China stock market; Market segmentation; Expected return; Market price of risk; Multivariate GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2009:i:8:p:2633-2653. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/mathematics-and-computers-in-simulation/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.