Backtesting global Growth-at-Risk
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.11.003
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Citations
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Cited by:
- Demetrescu, Matei & Hosseinkouchack, Mehdi & Rodrigues, Paulo M. M., 2023. "Tests of no cross-sectional error dependence in panel quantile regressions," Ruhr Economic Papers 1041, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Aaron J. Amburgey & Michael W. McCracken, 2023.
"On the real‐time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 137-163, March.
- Aaron Amburgey & Michael W. McCracken, 2022. "On the Real-Time Predictive Content of Financial Conditions Indices for Growth," Working Papers 2022-003, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 03 Jun 2022.
- Aleksei Kipriyanov, 2022. "Comparison of Models for Growth-at-Risk Forecasting," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 23-45, March.
- Paul Labonne & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2023. "Risky news and credit market sentiment," Working Papers No 14/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Martin Gachter & Elias Hasler & Florian Huber, 2023. "A tale of two tails: 130 years of growth-at-risk," Papers 2302.08920, arXiv.org.
- Martin Gächter & Martin Geiger & Elias Hasler, 2023.
"On the Structural Determinants of Growth-at-Risk,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(2), pages 251-293, June.
- Martin Geiger & Elias Hasler & Martin Gächter, 2021. "On the structural determinants of growth-at-risk," Arbeitspapiere 70, Liechtenstein-Institut.
- Martin Gächter & Martin Geiger & Elias Hasler, 2022. "On the structural determinants of growth-at-risk," Working Papers 2022-06, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
- Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2023. "Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage an application to Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(2).
- Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024.
"A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 229-246.
- Martin Iseringhausen, 2021. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," Working Papers 49, European Stability Mechanism.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Landau, Bettina & Musso, Alberto & Phella, Anthoulla, 2021. "The time-varying evolution of inflation risks," Working Paper Series 2600, European Central Bank.
- Botelho, Vasco & Foroni, Claudia & Renzetti, Andrea, 2023. "Labour at risk," Working Paper Series 2840, European Central Bank.
- Matei Demetrescu & Robinson Kruse-Becher, 2021. "Is U.S. real output growth really non-normal? Testing distributional assumptions in time-varying location-scale models," CREATES Research Papers 2021-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
- Beutel, Johannes & Emter, Lorenz & Metiu, Norbert & Prieto, Esteban & Schüler, Yves, 2022. "The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks," Discussion Papers 43/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Matei Demetrescu, 2022. "Cross-Sectional Error Dependence in Panel Quantile Regressions," Working Papers w202213, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Suarez, Javier, 2022. "Growth-at-risk and macroprudential policy design," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Timo Dimitriadis & Yannick Hoga, 2023. "Regressions under Adverse Conditions," Papers 2311.13327, arXiv.org.
- Busetti, Fabio & Caivano, Michele & Delle Monache, Davide & Pacella, Claudia, 2021.
"The time-varying risk of Italian GDP,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Davide Delle Monache & Claudia Pacella, 2020. "The time-varying risk of Italian GDP," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1288, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2022. "Modeling global real economic activity: Evidence from variable selection across quantiles," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
- Wolf, Elias, 2023. "Estimating Growth at Risk with Skewed Stochastic Volatility Models," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277696, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Mihail Yanchev, 2022. "Deep Growth-at-Risk Model: Nowcasting the 2020 Pandemic Lockdown Recession in Small Open Economies," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 20-41.
- Timo Dimitriadis & Yannick Hoga, 2022. "Dynamic CoVaR Modeling," Papers 2206.14275, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht & Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2023. "Testing Quantile Forecast Optimality," Papers 2302.02747, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Sulkhan Chavleishvili & Simone Manganelli, 2024. "Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 66-85, January.
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More about this item
Keywords
Growth-at-Risk; Backtesting; Quantile regression; GARCH;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
Statistics
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