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Dynamic quantile models

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Author Info
Gourieroux, C.
Jasiak, J.

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Abstract

This paper introduces the Dynamic Additive Quantile (DAQ) model that ensures the monotonicity of conditional quantile estimates. The DAQ model is easily estimable and can be used for computation and updating of the Value-at-Risk. An asymptotically efficient estimator of the DAQ is obtained by maximizing an objective function based on the inverse KLIC measure. An alternative estimator proposed in the paper is the Method of L-Moments estimator (MLM). The MLM estimator is consistent, but generally not fully efficient. Goodness-of-fit tests and diagnostic tools for the assessment of the model are also provided. For illustration, the DAQ model is estimated from a series of returns on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) market index.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VC0-4THSX80-1/2/1c5a951417f45f6b9a55781c5872eb5b
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 147 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (November)
Pages: 198-205
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Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:147:y:2008:i:1:p:198-205

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom

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Related research
Keywords: Dynamic Quantile Model Value-at-Risk KLIC criterion L-Moments Method of L-Moments;

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  1. Maria Rosa Nieto & Esther Ruiz, 2008. "Measuring financial risk : comparison of alternative procedures to estimate VaR and ES," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws087326, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
  2. J. Carlos Escanciano & Jose Olmo, 2007. "Estimation risk effects on backtesting for parametric value-at-risk models," City University Economics Discussion Papers 07/11, Department of Economics, City University, London. [Downloadable!]
  3. CORONEO, Laura & VEREDAS, David, 2006. "Intradaily seasonality of returns distribution. A quantile regression approach and intradaily VaR estimation," CORE Discussion Papers 2006077, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
  4. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Jose Olmo, 2007. "Backtesting Parametric Value-at-Risk with Estimation Risk," Caepr Working Papers 2007-005_updated, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-13.


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