IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/juipol/v75y2022ics0957178722000108.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of the multi-dimensional growth potential of China's public charging facilities for electric vehicles through 2030

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Ziqi
  • Chen, Zhong
  • Xing, Qiang
  • Ji, Zhenya
  • Zhang, Tian

Abstract

Based on almost 6 million charging records of 1588 charging stations in Jiangsu Province, China, this paper quantitatively analyzes the growth potential of public charging facilities for electric vehicles (EVs) in China towards 2030, from both aspects of saving power cost and providing flexible regulation capability. Based on the single EV charging optimization model, the unsupervised method is adopted to handle the efficiency problem of sampling calculation for massive actual data, and loop calculations were then conducted for sampling optimization. Bus charging stations (BCS), urban public charging stations (UPCS), and highway charging stations (HWCS)) are considered. Calculation results show that charging operators or users can save more than 20% of the power purchase cost (about 88.1 billion yuan) through intelligent charging management. By 2030, large-scale adoption of EVs would enable schedulable capacity that accounts for more than 10% of China's annual electricity generation from renewable energy sources (wind and photovoltaic energy). Moreover, electrical buses have the most potential now, while the figure for electrical passenger cars charged in UPCS would account for the greatest proportion in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Ziqi & Chen, Zhong & Xing, Qiang & Ji, Zhenya & Zhang, Tian, 2022. "Evaluation of the multi-dimensional growth potential of China's public charging facilities for electric vehicles through 2030," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:juipol:v:75:y:2022:i:c:s0957178722000108
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2022.101344
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957178722000108
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jup.2022.101344?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xydas, Erotokritos & Marmaras, Charalampos & Cipcigan, Liana M. & Jenkins, Nick & Carroll, Steve & Barker, Myles, 2016. "A data-driven approach for characterising the charging demand of electric vehicles: A UK case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 763-771.
    2. Malec, Peter & Schienle, Melanie, 2014. "Nonparametric kernel density estimation near the boundary," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 57-76.
    3. Huber, Julian & Dann, David & Weinhardt, Christof, 2020. "Probabilistic forecasts of time and energy flexibility in battery electric vehicle charging," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    4. Wang, Hewu & Zhang, Xiaobin & Ouyang, Minggao, 2015. "Energy consumption of electric vehicles based on real-world driving patterns: A case study of Beijing," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 710-719.
    5. Uddin, Kotub & Dubarry, Matthieu & Glick, Mark B., 2018. "The viability of vehicle-to-grid operations from a battery technology and policy perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 342-347.
    6. Zachary A. Needell & James McNerney & Michael T. Chang & Jessika E. Trancik, 2016. "Potential for widespread electrification of personal vehicle travel in the United States," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 1(9), pages 1-7, September.
    7. Wu, Xing, 2018. "Role of workplace charging opportunities on adoption of plug-in electric vehicles – Analysis based on GPS-based longitudinal travel data," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 367-379.
    8. Yan, Xing & Ozturk, Yusuf & Hu, Zechun & Song, Yonghua, 2018. "A review on price-driven residential demand response," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 411-419.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hui Hwang Goh & Lian Zong & Dongdong Zhang & Wei Dai & Chee Shen Lim & Tonni Agustiono Kurniawan & Kai Chen Goh, 2022. "Orderly Charging Strategy Based on Optimal Time of Use Price Demand Response of Electric Vehicles in Distribution Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-25, March.
    2. Rosa, Carmen Brum & Francescatto, Matheus Binotto & Neuenfeldt Júnior, Alvaro Luiz & Bernardon, Daniel Pinheiro & dos Santos, Laura Lisiane Callai, 2023. "Regulatory analysis of E-mobility for Brazil: A comparative review and outlook," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yvenn Amara-Ouali & Yannig Goude & Pascal Massart & Jean-Michel Poggi & Hui Yan, 2021. "A Review of Electric Vehicle Load Open Data and Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-35, April.
    2. Mingdong Sun & Chunfu Shao & Chengxiang Zhuge & Pinxi Wang & Xiong Yang & Shiqi Wang, 2022. "Uncovering travel and charging patterns of private electric vehicles with trajectory data: evidence and policy implications," Transportation, Springer, vol. 49(5), pages 1409-1439, October.
    3. Yan, Jie & Zhang, Jing & Liu, Yongqian & Lv, Guoliang & Han, Shuang & Alfonzo, Ian Emmanuel Gonzalez, 2020. "EV charging load simulation and forecasting considering traffic jam and weather to support the integration of renewables and EVs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 623-641.
    4. Zhang, Jing & Yan, Jie & Liu, Yongqian & Zhang, Haoran & Lv, Guoliang, 2020. "Daily electric vehicle charging load profiles considering demographics of vehicle users," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    5. Gaizka Saldaña & Jose Ignacio San Martin & Inmaculada Zamora & Francisco Javier Asensio & Oier Oñederra, 2019. "Electric Vehicle into the Grid: Charging Methodologies Aimed at Providing Ancillary Services Considering Battery Degradation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-37, June.
    6. Fischer, David & Harbrecht, Alexander & Surmann, Arne & McKenna, Russell, 2019. "Electric vehicles’ impacts on residential electric local profiles – A stochastic modelling approach considering socio-economic, behavioural and spatial factors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 644-658.
    7. Einolander, Johannes & Lahdelma, Risto, 2022. "Multivariate copula procedure for electric vehicle charging event simulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    8. Arias, Mariz B. & Bae, Sungwoo, 2016. "Electric vehicle charging demand forecasting model based on big data technologies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 327-339.
    9. Wang, Wanying & Zhang, Qiang & Peng, Zhanglin & Shao, Zhen & Li, Xuefang, 2020. "An empirical evaluation of different usage pattern between car-sharing battery electric vehicles and private ones," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 115-129.
    10. Chung, Yu-Wei & Khaki, Behnam & Li, Tianyi & Chu, Chicheng & Gadh, Rajit, 2019. "Ensemble machine learning-based algorithm for electric vehicle user behavior prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    11. Gschwendtner, Christine & Sinsel, Simon R. & Stephan, Annegret, 2021. "Vehicle-to-X (V2X) implementation: An overview of predominate trial configurations and technical, social and regulatory challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    12. Baresch, Martin & Moser, Simon, 2019. "Allocation of e-car charging: Assessing the utilization of charging infrastructures by location," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 388-395.
    13. Ouimet, Frédéric & Tolosana-Delgado, Raimon, 2022. "Asymptotic properties of Dirichlet kernel density estimators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    14. Neaimeh, Myriam & Salisbury, Shawn D. & Hill, Graeme A. & Blythe, Philip T. & Scoffield, Don R. & Francfort, James E., 2017. "Analysing the usage and evidencing the importance of fast chargers for the adoption of battery electric vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 474-486.
    15. Hu, Dingding & Zhou, Kaile & Li, Fangyi & Ma, Dawei, 2022. "Electric vehicle user classification and value discovery based on charging big data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    16. Vítor JPD Martinho, 2018. "A transversal perspective on global energy production and consumption: An approach based on convergence theory," Energy & Environment, , vol. 29(4), pages 556-575, June.
    17. Chengxiang Zhuge & Chunfu Shao & Xia Li, 2019. "Empirical Analysis of Parking Behaviour of Conventional and Electric Vehicles for Parking Modelling: A Case Study of Beijing, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-21, August.
    18. Andriosopoulos, Kostas & Bigerna, Simona & Bollino, Carlo Andrea & Micheli, Silvia, 2018. "The impact of age on Italian consumers' attitude toward alternative fuel vehicles," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 299-308.
    19. Marius Lux & Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Stefan Lessmann, 2020. "Data driven value-at-risk forecasting using a SVR-GARCH-KDE hybrid," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 947-981, September.
    20. Buzna, Luboš & De Falco, Pasquale & Ferruzzi, Gabriella & Khormali, Shahab & Proto, Daniela & Refa, Nazir & Straka, Milan & van der Poel, Gijs, 2021. "An ensemble methodology for hierarchical probabilistic electric vehicle load forecasting at regular charging stations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:juipol:v:75:y:2022:i:c:s0957178722000108. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/utilities-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.