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Multifractality and cross-correlation between the crude oil and the European and non-European stock markets during the Russia-Ukraine war

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  • Adekoya, Oluwasegun B.
  • Asl, Mahdi Ghaemi
  • Oliyide, Johnson A.
  • Izadi, Parviz

Abstract

Financial markets are often at the mercy of diverse crises at the country-specific, regional, or global levels. However, these crises may impose different impacts on the performance of the financial markets, making investors and policymakers consistently interested in how the markets behave in such periods to be adequately guided in their investment and policy decisions. This study answers this curiosity by examining the multifractality and cross-correlation between oil prices and prominent European and non-European stock markets before and during the recent Russia-Ukraine war. Our empirical analysis detects a strong multifractal behaviour in the oil and stock markets. However, persistence is generally higher at the lower scales, representing the sampled periods' beginning. Moreover, the war has a stronger direct influence on the persistence of the oil and the European stock markets. In contrast, it has a stronger indirect impact on the persistence of the stock markets of non-European countries through oil prices. These countries, namely the U.S., Japan, and China, have the largest economies in the world. Nonetheless, the impact of oil prices was stronger for all the countries in the war period, as their stock markets became inefficient.

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  • Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Asl, Mahdi Ghaemi & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Izadi, Parviz, 2023. "Multifractality and cross-correlation between the crude oil and the European and non-European stock markets during the Russia-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:80:y:2023:i:c:s0301420722005773
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103134
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    Cited by:

    1. Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Sinha, Avik & Murshed, Muntasir, 2023. "Russia-Ukraine conflict sentiments and energy market returns in G7 countries: Discovering the unexplored dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    2. Su, Chi-Wei & Yang, Shengjie & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "Gold vs bitcoin: Who can resist panic in the U.S.?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    3. Katarzyna Czech & Michał Wielechowski & Richard Barichello, 2023. "The shock of war: do trade relations impact the reaction of stock markets to the Russian invasion of Ukraine?," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 1, pages 14-27.
    4. Wei-Xing Zhou & Yun-Shi Dai & Kiet Tuan Duong & Peng-Fei Dai, 2023. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the extreme risk spillovers between agricultural futures and spots," Papers 2310.16850, arXiv.org.
    5. Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "EU sectoral stocks amid geopolitical risk, market sentiment, and crude oil implied volatility: An asymmetric analysis of the Russia-Ukraine tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Khalid, Ali Awais & Sana, Moniba, 2023. "Conflict vs sustainability of global energy, agricultural and metal markets: A lesson from Ukraine-Russia war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    7. Li, Jingwen & Wang, Yue & Song, Yubing & Su, Chi Wei, 2023. "How resistant is gold to stress? New evidence from global supply chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    8. Karkowska, Renata & Urjasz, Szczepan, 2023. "How does the Russian-Ukrainian war change connectedness and hedging opportunities? Comparison between dirty and clean energy markets versus global stock indices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    9. Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness between global commodity sectors, news sentiment, and sub-Saharan African equities," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia-Ukraine war; Oil price; Stock market; Multifractality; Persistence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy

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