IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v65y2020ics030142071930621x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic interaction between financial development and natural resources: Evaluating the ‘Resource curse’ hypothesis

Author

Listed:
  • Asif, Muhammad
  • Khan, Khan Burhan
  • Anser, Muhammad Khalid
  • Nassani, Abdelmohsen A.
  • Abro, Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi
  • Zaman, Khalid

Abstract

The role of natural resources in promoting economic and financial activities is important for attaining country's economic growth. The study used different natural resource rents, domestic investment, trade openness, per capita income and their resulting impact on financial development in order to assess ‘financial resource curse’ hypothesis in Pakistan by using a consistent time series data from 1975 to 2017. The study employed ARDL-Bounds testing approach that is fairly worked under different order of integrated variables and displayed short- and long-run parameter estimates. Further, the study used VAR decomposition analysis to generate Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Variance Decomposition Analysis (VDA) to assessed forecasted variance and error shocks over a next 10 year time period. The results show that, in the short-run, initial level of forest rents and oil rents supported the ‘natural resource abundance’ hypothesis, as both the rents substantially increases country's financial development, however, in the long-run, there is a negative relationship of coal rents, forest rents, natural gas rents, and oil rents with domestic credit to private sector (DCPS), which confirmed the ‘natural curse hypothesis’ in a country. The domestic investment in the form of gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) largely supported the financial activities with all given resource rents in the models, while country's per capita income unable to signify its positive impact on DCPS under the resource curse environment during the study time period. The other results show that coal rents and oil rents decreases broad money supply whereas natural gas rents decreases market capitalization to validate ‘financial resource curse’ hypothesis in a country. The results of IRF and VDA approach confirmed the viability of both the competing natural resource theories (i.e., financial resource curse and financial resource blessing hypothesis) under financial development in the next 10 year time period.

Suggested Citation

  • Asif, Muhammad & Khan, Khan Burhan & Anser, Muhammad Khalid & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Abro, Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi & Zaman, Khalid, 2020. "Dynamic interaction between financial development and natural resources: Evaluating the ‘Resource curse’ hypothesis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:65:y:2020:i:c:s030142071930621x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101566
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030142071930621X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101566?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khan, Saleheen & Tahir, Mohammad Iqbal, 2013. "The dynamic links between energy consumption, economic growth, financial development and trade in China: Fresh evidence from multivariate framework analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 8-21.
    2. Arshad Hayat, 2018. "FDI and economic growth: the role of natural resources?," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(2), pages 283-295, May.
    3. Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Natural resources as blessings and finance-growth nexus: A bootstrap ARDL approach in an emerging economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 277-287.
    4. Dwumfour, Richard Adjei & Ntow-Gyamfi, Matthew, 2018. "Natural resources, financial development and institutional quality in Africa: Is there a resource curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 411-426.
    5. Gianluca Benigno & Luca Fornaro, 2014. "The Financial Resource Curse," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 116(1), pages 58-86, January.
    6. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Smyth, Russell, 2016. "Oil curse and finance–growth nexus in Malaysia: The role of investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 154-165.
    7. Usama Al-Mulali & Ilhan Ozturk & Hooi Lean, 2015. "The influence of economic growth, urbanization, trade openness, financial development, and renewable energy on pollution in Europe," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(1), pages 621-644, October.
    8. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    9. Anthony J. Venables, 2016. "Using Natural Resources for Development: Why Has It Proven So Difficult?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 161-184, Winter.
    10. John Anyanwu, 2006. "Promoting of Investment in Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 18(1), pages 42-71.
    11. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Destek, Mehmet Akif & Okumus, Ilyas & Sinha, Avik, 2019. "An empirical note on comparison between resource abundance and resource dependence in resource abundant countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 47-55.
    12. Moradbeigi, Maryam & Law, Siong Hook, 2016. "Growth volatility and resource curse: Does financial development dampen the oil shocks?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 97-103.
    13. Muhammad Asif & Abdul Majid, 2018. "Institutional quality, natural resources and FDI: empirical evidence from Pakistan," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(4), pages 391-407, December.
    14. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hye, Qazi Muhammad Adnan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Leitão, Nuno Carlos, 2013. "Economic growth, energy consumption, financial development, international trade and CO2 emissions in Indonesia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 109-121.
    15. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2012. "Asymmetric causality tests with an application," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 447-456, August.
    16. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Clark, Jeremy, 2017. "The evolution of the natural resource curse thesis: A critical literature survey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 123-134.
    17. Rashid Khan, Haroon Ur & Zaman, Khalid & Usman, Bushra & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Aldakhil, Abdullah Mohammed & Qazi Abro, Muhammad Moinuddin, 2019. "Financial management of natural resource market: Long-run and inter-temporal (forecast) relationship," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    18. Moradbeigi, Maryam & Law, Siong Hook, 2017. "The role of financial development in the oil-growth nexus," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 164-172.
    19. Adams, Dawda & Adams, Kweku & Ullah, Subhan & Ullah, Farid, 2019. "Globalisation, governance, accountability and the natural resource ‘curse’: Implications for socio-economic growth of oil-rich developing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 128-140.
    20. Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How much does financial development contribute to renewable energy growth and upgrading of energy structure in China?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 114-124.
    21. Cerdeira Bento, João Paulo & Moutinho, Victor, 2016. "CO2 emissions, non-renewable and renewable electricity production, economic growth, and international trade in Italy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 142-155.
    22. Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser, 2014. "Asymmetric generalized impulse responses with an application in finance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 18-22.
    23. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad & Ahad, Muhammad & Tahir, Iqbal, 2018. "Is natural resource abundance a stimulus for financial development in the USA?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 223-232.
    24. Kishwar Nawaz & Amine Lahiani & David Roubaud, 2019. "Natural resources as blessings and finance-growth nexus: A bootstrap ARDL approach in an emerging economy," Post-Print hal-03532512, HAL.
    25. Bhattacharyya, Sambit & Hodler, Roland, 2014. "Do Natural Resource Revenues Hinder Financial Development? The Role of Political Institutions," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 101-113.
    26. Kurronen, Sanna, 2015. "Financial sector in resource-dependent economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 208-229.
    27. Yuri Quixina & Álvaro Almeida, 2014. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in a Natural Resource Based Economy: Evidence from Angola," FEP Working Papers 542, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    28. Elizabeth Asiedu, 2006. "Foreign Direct Investment in Africa: The Role of Natural Resources, Market Size, Government Policy, Institutions and Political Instability," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 63-77, January.
    29. Bakari, Sayef, 2018. "The Impact of Domestic Investment on Economic Growth New Policy Analysis from Algeria," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 35-51, March.
    30. World Bank, 2017. "World Development Indicators 2017," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 26447, December.
    31. Yuxiang, Karl & Chen, Zhongchang, 2011. "Resource abundance and financial development: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 72-79, March.
    32. Elheddad, Mohamed, 2019. "Foreign direct investment and domestic investment: Do oil sectors matter? Evidence from oil-exporting Gulf Cooperation Council economies," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 1-12.
    33. Khan, Muhammad Asif & Khan, Muhammad Atif & Abdulahi, Mohamued Elyas & Liaqat, Idrees & Shah, Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain, 2019. "Institutional quality and financial development: The United States perspective," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 67-80.
    34. Rashid Khan, Haroon Ur & Islam, Talat & Yousaf, Sheikh Usman & Zaman, Khalid & Shoukry, Alaa Mohamd & Sharkawy, Mohamed A. & Gani, Showkat & Aamir, Alamzeb & Hishan, Sanil S., 2019. "The impact of financial development indicators on natural resource markets: Evidence from two-step GMM estimator," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 240-255.
    35. Adams, Dawda & Ullah, Subhan & Akhtar, Pervaiz & Adams, Kweku & Saidi, Samir, 2019. "The role of country-level institutional factors in escaping the natural resource curse: Insights from Ghana," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 433-440.
    36. Papyrakis, Elissaios & Gerlagh, Reyer, 2004. "The resource curse hypothesis and its transmission channels," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 181-193, March.
    37. Paul Collier & Rick Van Der Ploeg & Michael Spence & Anthony J Venables, 2010. "Managing Resource Revenues in Developing Economies," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 57(1), pages 84-118, April.
    38. Paul Turner, 2006. "Response surfaces for an F-test for cointegration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(8), pages 479-482.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ali, Adnan & Ramakrishnan, Suresh & Faisal,, 2022. "Financial development and natural resources. Is there a stock market resource curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Dogan, Eyup & Madaleno, Mara & Altinoz, Buket, 2020. "Revisiting the nexus of financialization and natural resource abundance in resource-rich countries: New empirical evidence from nine indices of financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Wang, Zhipeng & Zhang, Mei & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa, 2022. "Revisiting resource curse hypothesis and sustainable development: Evaluating the role of financial risk for USA," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Dogan, Eyup & Altinoz, Buket & Tzeremes, Panayiotis, 2020. "The analysis of ‘Financial Resource Curse’ hypothesis for developed countries: Evidence from asymmetric effects with quantile regression," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    5. Naseer, Ahsan & Su, Chi-Wei & Mirza, Nawazish & Li, Jing-Ping, 2020. "Double jeopardy of resources and investment curse in South Asia: Is technology the only way out?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Adnan Ali & Suresh Ramakrishnan & Faisal Faisal & Tooba Akram & Sidra Salam & Sami Ur Rahman, 2023. "Bibliometric analysis of finance and natural resources: past trend, current development, and future prospects," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(11), pages 13035-13064, November.
    7. Muhammad Atif Khan & Muhammad Asif Khan & Kishwar Ali & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2020. "Natural Resource Rent and Finance: The Moderation Role of Institutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-23, May.
    8. Hadj, Tarek Bel & Ghodbane, Adel, 2021. "Do natural resources rents and institutional development matter for financial development under quantile regression approach?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    9. Rashid Khan, Haroon Ur & Zaman, Khalid & Usman, Bushra & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Aldakhil, Abdullah Mohammed & Qazi Abro, Muhammad Moinuddin, 2019. "Financial management of natural resource market: Long-run and inter-temporal (forecast) relationship," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    10. Ali, Adnan & Ramakrishnan, Suresh & Faisal, Faisal & Ghazi H Sulimany, Hamid & Bazhair, Ayman Hassan, 2022. "Stock market resource curse: The moderating role of institutional quality," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Ben-Salha, Ousama & Dachraoui, Hajer & Sebri, Maamar, 2021. "Natural resource rents and economic growth in the top resource-abundant countries: A PMG estimation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Guan, Jialin & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Bibi, Ayesha & Zhang, Weike, 2020. "Natural resources rents nexus with financial development in the presence of globalization: Is the “resource curse” exist or myth?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    13. Wang, Zhe & Teng, Yin-Pei & Wu, Shuzhao & Liu, Yuxiang & Liu, Xianchang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial system and natural resources extraction: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    14. Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Yıldırım, Durmuş Çağrı & Gedikli, Ayfer, 2020. "Natural resource abundance, financial development and economic growth: An investigation on Next-11 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    15. Wang, Lu & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Sari, Arif & Sowah, James Karmoh & Cai, Xu-Yu, 2020. "Resources or development first: An interesting question for a developing country," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    16. Adabor, Opoku, 2023. "The effect of financial development on natural gas resource rent in Ghana," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    17. Zhang, Zhinan & Xu, Xiangyun, 2023. "Sustainable financial risk, resources abundance and technological innovation: Evidence from resources abundance economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    18. Gokmenoglu, Korhan K. & Rustamov, Bezhan, 2022. "The role of the natural resource abundance in the short and long run: The case of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    19. Phuc Canh, Nguyen & Trung Thong, Nguyen, 2020. "Nexus between financialisation and natural resources rents: Empirical evidence in a global sample," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    20. Khan, Zeeshan & Hussain, Muzzammil & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Yang, Siqun & Jiao, Zhilun, 2020. "Natural resource abundance, technological innovation, and human capital nexus with financial development: A case study of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:65:y:2020:i:c:s030142071930621x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.