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What is the impact of introducing a parallel OTC market? Theory and evidence from the chinese interbank FX market

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  • Holden, Craig W.
  • Lu, Dong
  • Lugovskyy, Volodymyr
  • Puzzello, Daniela

Abstract

Chinese interbank foreign exchange trading was originally conducted through a centralized, anonymous limit order book (LOB). We determine the impact of the introduction of a parallel decentralized over-the-counter (OTC) market. We find that: (1) most trading migrated to the OTC, (2) the LOB price function is upward-sloping versus the OTC price function is downward-sloping, and (3) the LOB market has a single price function versus the OTC market has multiple price functions. Next, we develop a theoretical model of parallel markets that can simultaneously explain all of these empirical findings. We test a new model prediction and find support.

Suggested Citation

  • Holden, Craig W. & Lu, Dong & Lugovskyy, Volodymyr & Puzzello, Daniela, 2021. "What is the impact of introducing a parallel OTC market? Theory and evidence from the chinese interbank FX market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 270-291.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:140:y:2021:i:1:p:270-291
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.10.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Lu, Dong & Zhan, Yaosong, 2022. "Over-the-counter versus double auction in asset markets with near-zero-intelligence traders," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market structure; Over-the-counter; Limit-order book; FX market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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