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Modelling tourism expenditure using complexity theory

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  • Olya, Hossein GT
  • Mehran, Javaneh

Abstract

This study contributes to the literature by offering a novel analytical approach to solving complex interactions of tourism expenditure antecedents, advancing the theoretical reasoning behind the way in which socioeconomic indicators of prosperity combine to explain tourism expenditure on an international scale. The study explored a variety of configurations sufficient for simulation of both high and low scores of outbound tourism expenditures that have policy implications in both destination countries and countries of origin. We used complexity theory and fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to analyze a composite score of 5-year data for 105 countries. The predictive validity results indicated the capacity of the proposed model to predict future outcome using other samples. The results expand our knowledge of the asymmetrical relationships of tourism expenditure and its antecedents.

Suggested Citation

  • Olya, Hossein GT & Mehran, Javaneh, 2017. "Modelling tourism expenditure using complexity theory," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 147-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:75:y:2017:i:c:p:147-158
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2017.02.015
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    3. Dedeoglu, Bekir Bora & Boğan, Erhan & Kucukergin, Kemal Gurkan & Birinci, Muhammet Cenk, 2023. "Are tourists afraid of the unknown? Examining the role of travel constraints and tourist xenophobia with symmetric and asymmetric perspectives," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    4. Mohammad Soltani Delgosha & Tahereh Saheb & Nastaran Hajiheydari, 0. "Modelling the Asymmetrical Relationships between Digitalisation and Sustainable Competitiveness: A Cross-Country Configurational Analysis," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-21.
    5. Olya, Hossein G.T. & Lee, Choong-Ki & Lee, Yong-Ki & Reisinger, Yvette, 2019. "What are the triggers of Asian visitor satisfaction and loyalty in the Korean heritage site?," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 195-205.
    6. Ahmad Salman & Mastura Jaafar & Diana Mohamad & Mana Khoshkam, 2023. "Understanding Multi-stakeholder Complexity & Developing a Causal Recipe (fsQCA) for achieving Sustainable Ecotourism," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(9), pages 10261-10284, September.
    7. Haroon ur Rashid Khan & Murad Ali & Hossein G. T. Olya & Muhamamd Zulqarnain & Zubair Rashid Khan, 2018. "Transformational leadership, corporate social responsibility, organizational innovation, and organizational performance: Symmetrical and asymmetrical analytical approaches," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 1270-1283, November.
    8. Gómez–Déniz, E. & Pérez–Rodríguez, J.V., 2019. "Modelling distribution of aggregate expenditure on tourism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 293-308.
    9. Kamel Bel Hadj Miled, 2023. "Microfinance and women entrepreneurship development: evidence from Tunisia," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-16, January.
    10. Mehran, Javaneh & Olya, Hossein GT., 2020. "Canal boat tourism: Application of complexity theory," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
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    12. Roundy, Philip T. & Bradshaw, Mike & Brockman, Beverly K., 2018. "The emergence of entrepreneurial ecosystems: A complex adaptive systems approach," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-10.
    13. Yanan Li & Sid Terason, 2023. "Configuring the Pattern of Sustainable Tourism Development as Affected by the Construction of a High-Speed Railway System," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, July.
    14. Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabi Belhaj Hassine & Salma Mefteh‐Wali, 2021. "Firm financial performance during the financial crisis: A French case study," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2800-2812, April.
    15. Huarng, Kun-Huang & Yu, Tiffany Hui-Kuang, 2022. "Causal complexity analysis for fintech adoption at the country level," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 228-234.
    16. Olya, Hossein G.T. & Al-ansi, Amr, 2018. "Risk assessment of halal products and services: Implication for tourism industry," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 279-291.
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