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Loss given default adjusted workout processes for leases

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  • Miller, Patrick
  • Töws, Eugen

Abstract

Employing defaulted leases, this study divides the loss given default (LGD) into two parts. So far, LGD has been regarded as a holistic measure of risk. However, considering the specifics of leases, we distinguish between asset-related and miscellaneous revenues of the workout process in order to calculate component LGDs. We introduce a multi-step approach to estimate the overall LGD of leases, based on its economic composition. The performance is assessed out-of-sample and out-of-time. We find that our approach generates stable and accurate estimations. Moreover, using the estimated component LGDs, we obtain valuable information regarding the debt collection procedure that lead to monetary advantages for the lessor.

Suggested Citation

  • Miller, Patrick & Töws, Eugen, 2018. "Loss given default adjusted workout processes for leases," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 189-201.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:91:y:2018:i:c:p:189-201
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2017.01.020
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    15. Hartmann-Wendels, Thomas & Miller, Patrick & Töws, Eugen, 2014. "Loss given default for leasing: Parametric and nonparametric estimations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 364-375.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nazemi, Abdolreza & Rezazadeh, Hani & Fabozzi, Frank J. & Höchstötter, Markus, 2022. "Deep learning for modeling the collection rate for third-party buyers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 240-252.
    2. Chen, Xiaowei & Wang, Gang & Zhang, Xiangting, 2019. "Modeling recovery rate for leveraged loans," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 231-241.
    3. Kaposty, Florian & Kriebel, Johannes & Löderbusch, Matthias, 2020. "Predicting loss given default in leasing: A closer look at models and variable selection," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 248-266.
    4. Li, Aimin & Li, Zhiyong & Bellotti, Anthony, 2023. "Predicting loss given default of unsecured consumer loans with time-varying survival scores," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Salvatore D. Tomarchio & Antonio Punzo, 2019. "Modelling the loss given default distribution via a family of zero‐and‐one inflated mixture models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(4), pages 1247-1266, October.
    6. Florian Kaposty & Philipp Klein & Matthias Löderbusch & Andreas Pfingsten, 2022. "Loss given default in SME leasing," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 16(5), pages 1561-1597, July.
    7. Königstorfer, Florian & Thalmann, Stefan, 2020. "Applications of Artificial Intelligence in commercial banks – A research agenda for behavioral finance," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    8. Sopitpongstorn, Nithi & Silvapulle, Param & Gao, Jiti & Fenech, Jean-Pierre, 2021. "Local logit regression for loan recovery rate," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    9. Marc Gürtler & Marvin Zöllner, 2023. "Heterogeneities among credit risk parameter distributions: the modality defines the best estimation method," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 45(1), pages 251-287, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Loss given default; Random forest; Economic model; Leasing; Workout process; Forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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