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Forecasting models and prediction intervals for the multiplicative Holt-Winters method

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Author Info
Koehler, Anne B.
Snyder, Ralph D.
Ord, J. Keith

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Abstract

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V92-42YW20F-8/2/6d435fb6c0dba54a2018b54527910ba0
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Forecasting.

Volume (Year): 17 (2001)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 269-286
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Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:2:p:269-286

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Ord, J.K. & Koehler, A. & Snyder, R.D., 1995. "Estimation and Prediction for a Class of Dynamic Nonlinear Statistical Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/95, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  2. Chatfield, Chris & Yar, Mohammed, 1991. "Prediction intervals for multiplicative Holt-Winters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 31-37, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. J Keith Ord & Ralph D Snyder & Anne B Koehler & Rob J Hyndman & Mark Leeds, 2005. "Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ralph D. Snyder & Anne B. Koehler & Rob J. Hyndman & J. Keith Ord, 2002. "Exponential Smoothing for Inventory Control: Means and Variances of Lead-Time Demand," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Hyndman, R.J. & Koehler, A.B. & Snyder, R.D. & Grose, S., 2000. "A State Space Framework for Automatic Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing Methods," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 9/2000, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Hyndman, R.J. & Koehler, A.B. & Ord, J.K. & Snyder, R.D., 2001. "Prediction Intervals for Exponential Smoothing State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/2001, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pim Ouwehand & Rob J. Hyndman & Ton G. de Kok & Karel H. van Donselaar, 2007. "A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
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