IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v95y2020icp116-128.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Equilibrium in natural catastrophe insurance market under disaster-resistant technologies, financial innovations and government interventions

Author

Listed:
  • Wu, Yang-Che

Abstract

Natural disasters increase in number and severity. Studies have shown the failure of the catastrophe insurance market by listing many causes or through developing economic models (Charpentier and Le Maux, 2014; Kousky and Cooke, 2012; Ibragimov et al., 2009). However, they have not considered the effect of the following factors on market equilibrium: advanced disaster-resistant technologies used by insureds, alternative financial innovations employed by insurers, and various disaster policies that are implemented by governments. To fill this gap, this study examines how these three factors affect the market equilibrium by changing the supply of, and demand for insurance and determines which factor(s) contributes to the market equilibrium. Furthermore, we derive the formula of position size which gives criteria for selecting index-based contracts. Overall annual numbers and insured losses of catastrophes are collected by peril type and by occurrence region listed in Sigma, which is issued by Swiss Re annually. The comparative static equilibrium analysis demonstrates that the improvement of market equilibrium is significant at low level of loss correlation in all cases. The empirical findings give insurers good references for business and geographical diversification in portfolio of catastrophe insurance policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Yang-Che, 2020. "Equilibrium in natural catastrophe insurance market under disaster-resistant technologies, financial innovations and government interventions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 116-128.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:95:y:2020:i:c:p:116-128
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.08.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668720301177
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.08.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ostap Okhrin & Martin Odening & Wei Xu, 2013. "Systemic Weather Risk and Crop Insurance: The Case of China," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 80(2), pages 351-372, June.
    2. Waegenaere, Anja De, 1994. "Equilibria in a mixed financial-reinsurance market with constrained trading possibilities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 205-218, July.
    3. Denis-Alexandre Trottier & Van Son Lai, 2017. "Reinsurance or CAT Bond? How to Optimally Combine Both," Working Papers 2017-003, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    4. Alex Boulatov & Stephan Dieckmann, 2013. "The Risk-Sharing Implications of Disaster Insurance Funds," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 80(1), pages 37-64, March.
    5. Beer, Simone & Braun, Alexander & Marugg, Andrin, 2019. "Pricing industry loss warranties in a Lévy–Frailty framework," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 171-181.
    6. Yang‐Che Wu & Ming Jing Yang, 2018. "The effectiveness of asset, liability and equity hedging against catastrophe risk: the cases of winter storms in North America and Europe," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(5), pages 893-918, November.
    7. Chia‐Chien Chang & Shih‐Kuei Lin & Min‐Teh Yu, 2011. "Valuation of Catastrophe Equity Puts With Markov‐Modulated Poisson Processes," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 78(2), pages 447-473, June.
    8. Charpentier, Arthur & Le Maux, Benoît, 2014. "Natural catastrophe insurance: How should the government intervene?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 1-17.
    9. Appelbaum, Elie & Katz, Eliakim, 1986. "Measures of Risk Aversion and Comparative Statics of Industry Equilibrium," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(3), pages 524-529, June.
    10. repec:hal:journl:hal-00536925 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Alexander Braun, 2016. "Pricing in the Primary Market for Cat Bonds: New Empirical Evidence," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 83(4), pages 811-847, December.
    12. J. David Cummins & Mary A. Weiss, 2009. "Convergence of Insurance and Financial Markets: Hybrid and Securitized Risk‐Transfer Solutions," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 493-545, September.
    13. Timothy Goodspeed & Andrew Haughwout, 2012. "On the optimal design of disaster insurance in a federation," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-27, March.
    14. Carolyn Kousky & Roger Cooke, 2012. "Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 37(2), pages 206-227, April.
    15. J. David Cummins, 2006. "Should the government provide insurance for catastrophes?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 88(Jul), pages 337-380.
    16. Wu, Yang-Che & Chung, San-Lin, 2010. "Catastrophe risk management with counterparty risk using alternative instruments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 234-245, October.
    17. Zhiwei Shen & Martin Odening, 2013. "Coping with systemic risk in index-based crop insurance," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 44(1), pages 1-13, January.
    18. Zhu, Wenge, 2017. "Wanting robustness in insurance: A model of catastrophe risk pricing and its empirical test," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 14-23.
    19. Rustam Ibragimov & Dwight Jaffee & Johan Walden, 2009. "Nondiversification Traps in Catastrophe Insurance Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 959-993.
    20. De Waegenaere, Anja, 1994. "Equilibria in a mixed financial-reinsurance market with constrained trading possibilities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 65-65, October.
    21. Alexander Braun & Daliana Luca & Hato Schmeiser, 2019. "Consumption‐Based Asset Pricing in Insurance Markets: Yet Another Puzzle?," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 86(3), pages 629-661, September.
    22. John Duncan & Robert J. Myers, 2000. "Crop Insurance under Catastrophic Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(4), pages 842-855.
    23. Mario J. Miranda & Joseph W. Glauber, 1997. "Systemic Risk, Reinsurance, and the Failure of Crop Insurance Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(1), pages 206-215.
    24. Gerber, Hans U., 1984. "Equilibria in a proportional reinsurance market," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 97-100, April.
    25. Braun, Alexander, 2011. "Pricing catastrophe swaps: A contingent claims approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 520-536.
    26. Miguel A. Carriquiry & Daniel E. Osgood, 2012. "Index Insurance, Probabilistic Climate Forecasts, and Production," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 287-300, March.
    27. Faias, José Afonso & Guedes, José, 2020. "The diffusion of complex securities: The case of CAT bonds," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 46-57.
    28. Jo†Yu Wang & Wen†Lin Wu & Yang†Che Wu & Ming Jing Yang, 2017. "How To Manage Long†term Financial Self†sufficiency of a National Catastrophe Insurance Fund? The Feasibility of Three Bailout Programmes," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(5), pages 951-974, October.
    29. Burnecki, Krzysztof & Giuricich, Mario Nicoló & Palmowski, Zbigniew, 2019. "Valuation of contingent convertible catastrophe bonds — The case for equity conversion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 238-254.
    30. Michael Rothschild & Joseph Stiglitz, 1976. "Equilibrium in Competitive Insurance Markets: An Essay on the Economics of Imperfect Information," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 90(4), pages 629-649.
    31. Carolyn Kousky & Erwann Michel-Kerjan, 2017. "Examining Flood Insurance Claims in the United States: Six Key Findings," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 84(3), pages 819-850, September.
    32. Wu, Yang-Che, 2015. "Reexamining the feasibility of diversification and transfer instruments on smoothing catastrophe risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 54-66.
    33. J. David Cummins & Philippe Trainar, 2009. "Securitization, Insurance, and Reinsurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 463-492, September.
    34. Rustam Ibragimov & Dwight Jaffee & Johan Walden, 2009. "Nondiversification Traps in Catastrophe Insurance Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 959-993, March.
    35. Ramasubramanian, S., 2006. "An insurance network: Nash equilibrium," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 374-390, April.
    36. Kaplow, Louis, 1991. "Incentives and Government Relief for Risk," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 167-175, April.
    37. Subramanian, Ajay & Wang, Jinjing, 2018. "Reinsurance versus securitization of catastrophe risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 55-72.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xing Yang & Jun-long Mi & Yue Zeng & Wen-bo Wei, 2023. "Bilinear Integrable soliton solutions and carbon emission rights pricing," International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies, Oxford University Press, vol. 18, pages 131-143.
    2. Mahshid Peivandi & Mehdi Zeynali & Mahdi Salehi & Ali Paytakhti Oskooe & Younes Badavar Nahandi, 2022. "Developing a Model of Insurance Securitisation in Iranian Environmental Conditions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-18, November.
    3. Han-Bin KANG & Hsuling CHANG & Tsangyao CHANG, 2022. "Catastrophe Reinsurance Pricing -Modification of Dynamic Asset-Liability Management," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-20, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ben Ammar, Semir & Braun, Alexander & Eling, Martin, 2015. "Alternative Risk Transfer and Insurance-Linked Securities: Trends, Challenges and New Market Opportunities," I.VW HSG Schriftenreihe, University of St.Gallen, Institute of Insurance Economics (I.VW-HSG), volume 56, number 56.
    2. Beer, Simone & Braun, Alexander & Marugg, Andrin, 2019. "Pricing industry loss warranties in a Lévy–Frailty framework," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 171-181.
    3. Peter Carayannopoulos & Olga Kanj & M. Fabricio Perez, 2022. "Pricing dynamics in the market for catastrophe bonds," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(1), pages 172-202, January.
    4. Carolyn W. Chang & Jack S. K. Chang & Min‐Teh Yu & Yang Zhao, 2020. "Portfolio optimization in the catastrophe space," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1414-1448, November.
    5. Wu, Yang-Che, 2015. "Reexamining the feasibility of diversification and transfer instruments on smoothing catastrophe risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 54-66.
    6. Tobias Götze & Marc Gürtler, 2022. "Risk transfer beyond reinsurance: the added value of CAT bonds," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(1), pages 125-171, January.
    7. Braun, Alexander & Braun, Julia & Weigert, Florian, 2023. "Extreme weather risk and the cost of equity," CFR Working Papers 23-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    8. Charpentier, Arthur & Le Maux, Benoît, 2014. "Natural catastrophe insurance: How should the government intervene?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 1-17.
    9. Burnecki, Krzysztof & Giuricich, Mario Nicoló & Palmowski, Zbigniew, 2019. "Valuation of contingent convertible catastrophe bonds — The case for equity conversion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 238-254.
    10. Alexander Braun, 2016. "Pricing in the Primary Market for Cat Bonds: New Empirical Evidence," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 83(4), pages 811-847, December.
    11. Martínez-Salgueiro, Andrea & Tarrazón-Rodón, María-Antonia, 2020. "Is diversification effective in reducing the systemic risk implied by a market for weather index-based insurance in Spain?," MPRA Paper 119924, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 May 2021.
    12. Radoslav Raykov, 2015. "Catastrophe insurance equilibrium with correlated claims," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 78(1), pages 89-115, January.
    13. Götze, Tobias & Gürtler, Marc, 2020. "Hard markets, hard times: On the inefficiency of the CAT bond market," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    14. Subramanian, Ajay & Wang, Jinjing, 2021. "Capital, aggregate risk, insurance prices and regulation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 156-192.
    15. Zhiwei Shen & Martin Odening, 2013. "Coping with systemic risk in index-based crop insurance," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 44(1), pages 1-13, January.
    16. Wang, Xingchun, 2019. "Valuation of new-designed contracts for catastrophe risk management," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    17. Thomas Holzheu & Ginger Turner, 2018. "The Natural Catastrophe Protection Gap: Measurement, Root Causes and Ways of Addressing Underinsurance for Extreme Events†," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 43(1), pages 37-71, January.
    18. Spencer Wheatley & Annette Hofmann & Didier Sornette, 2021. "Addressing insurance of data breach cyber risks in the catastrophe framework," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 46(1), pages 53-78, January.
    19. Myers, Robert J. & Liu, Yanyan & Hanson, Steven D., 2005. "How Should We Value Agricultural Insurance Contracts," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19561, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    20. Martin Eling, 2013. "Recent Research Developments Affecting Nonlife Insurance—The CAS Risk Premium Project 2011 Update," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 16(1), pages 35-46, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Catastrophe insurance; Market equilibrium; Insurance premium subsidy; Disaster bailout; Index-based contract;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:95:y:2020:i:c:p:116-128. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505554 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.