IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v76y2017icp56-68.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multiple risk factor dependence structures: Distributional properties

Author

Listed:
  • Su, Jianxi
  • Furman, Edward

Abstract

We introduce a class of dependence structures that we call the Multiple Risk Factor (MRF) dependence structures. On the one hand, the new constructions establish a factor model framework for analysing default risk within a risk portfolio in which the components are exposed to an arbitrary number of risk factors having dependent occurrence times. On the other hand, the MRF structures can be seen as an encompassing family of multivariate probability distributions with the univariate margins distributed Pareto of the 2nd kind, and in this role, they can be used to model dependent and heavy tailed insurance losses. In both cases, the MRF dependences provide a transparent and technically convenient basis for measuring and managing interdependent risks in the presence of predetermined sets of background risk factors that are of interest to risk managers.

Suggested Citation

  • Su, Jianxi & Furman, Edward, 2017. "Multiple risk factor dependence structures: Distributional properties," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 56-68.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:76:y:2017:i:c:p:56-68
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.06.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668716305200
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.06.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Albrecher, Hansjörg & Constantinescu, Corina & Loisel, Stephane, 2011. "Explicit ruin formulas for models with dependence among risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 265-270, March.
    2. Furman, Edward & Zitikis, Ricardas, 2008. "Weighted premium calculation principles," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 459-465, February.
    3. Wang, Shaun, 1996. "Premium Calculation by Transforming the Layer Premium Density," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 71-92, May.
    4. Jaap H. Abbring & Gerard J. Van Den Berg, 2007. "The unobserved heterogeneity distribution in duration analysis," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 94(1), pages 87-99.
    5. Raluca Vernic, 2011. "Tail Conditional Expectation for the Multivariate Pareto Distribution of the Second Kind: Another Approach," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 121-137, March.
    6. Sanjiv R. Das & Darrell Duffie & Nikunj Kapadia & Leandro Saita, 2007. "Common Failings: How Corporate Defaults Are Correlated," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(1), pages 93-117, February.
    7. Vytaras Brazauskas & Robert Serfling, 2000. "Robust and Efficient Estimation of the Tail Index of a Single-Parameter Pareto Distribution," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 12-27.
    8. Ni, Weihong & Constantinescu, Corina & Pantelous, Athanasios A., 2014. "Bonus–Malus systems with Weibull distributed claim severities," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(2), pages 217-233, September.
    9. Brazauskas, Vytaras & Kleefeld, Andreas, 2009. "Robust and efficient fitting of the generalized Pareto distribution with actuarial applications in view," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 424-435, December.
    10. Su, Jianxi & Furman, Edward, 2017. "A Form Of Multivariate Pareto Distribution With Applications To Financial Risk Measurement," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 331-357, January.
    11. Asimit, Alexandru V. & Furman, Edward & Vernic, Raluca, 2010. "On a multivariate Pareto distribution," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 308-316, April.
    12. Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. & Goovaerts, M. J. & Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D., 2002. "The concept of comonotonicity in actuarial science and finance: theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 3-33, August.
    13. Duffie, Darrell & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1999. "Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(4), pages 687-720.
    14. Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. & Goovaerts, M. J. & Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D., 2002. "The concept of comonotonicity in actuarial science and finance: applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 133-161, October.
    15. Lindskog, Filip & McNeil, Alexander J., 2003. "Common Poisson Shock Models: Applications to Insurance and Credit Risk Modelling," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(2), pages 209-238, November.
    16. Valérie Chavez-Demoulin & Paul Embrechts & Marius Hofert, 2016. "An Extreme Value Approach for Modeling Operational Risk Losses Depending on Covariates," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 83(3), pages 735-776, September.
    17. Brazauskas, Vytaras & Serfling, Robert, 2003. "Favorable Estimators for Fitting Pareto Models: A Study Using Goodness-of-fit Measures with Actual Data," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(2), pages 365-381, November.
    18. Furman, Edward & Landsman, Zinoviy, 2005. "Risk capital decomposition for a multivariate dependent gamma portfolio," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 635-649, December.
    19. Stéphane Loisel, 2011. "Explicit ruin formulas for dependent risks," Post-Print hal-00600093, HAL.
    20. Chiragiev, Arthur & Landsman, Zinoviy, 2009. "Multivariate flexible Pareto model: Dependency structure, properties and characterizations," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(16), pages 1733-1743, August.
    21. Furman, Edward & Zitikis, Ricardas, 2008. "Weighted risk capital allocations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 263-269, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Su, Jianxi & Hua, Lei, 2017. "A general approach to full-range tail dependence copulas," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 49-64.
    2. J. C. Arismendi-Zambrano & Vladimir Belitsky & Vinicius Amorim Sobreiro & Herbert Kimura, 2020. "The Implications of Tail Dependency Measures for Counterparty Credit Risk Pricing," Economics Department Working Paper Series n306-20.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    3. Pai, Jeffrey & Ravishanker, Nalini, 2020. "Livestock mortality catastrophe insurance using fatal shock process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 58-65.
    4. Yu, L. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Fan, Y.R. & Nie, S., 2018. "A copula-based flexible-stochastic programming method for planning regional energy system under multiple uncertainties: A case study of the urban agglomeration of Beijing and Tianjin," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 60-74.
    5. Furman, Edward & Kye, Yisub & Su, Jianxi, 2021. "Multiplicative background risk models: Setting a course for the idiosyncratic risk factors distributed phase-type," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 153-167.
    6. Yu, L. & Xiao, Y. & Jiang, S. & Li, Y.P. & Fan, Y.R. & Huang, G.H. & Lv, J. & Zuo, Q.T. & Wang, F.Q., 2020. "A copula-based fuzzy interval-random programming approach for planning water-energy nexus system under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    7. Nadezhda Gribkova & Ričardas Zitikis, 2019. "Statistical detection and classification of background risks affecting inputs and outputs," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 77(1), pages 1-18, April.
    8. Kiriliouk, Anna, 2020. "Hypothesis testing for tail dependence parameters on the boundary of the parameter space," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 121-135.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Furman, Edward & Kye, Yisub & Su, Jianxi, 2021. "Multiplicative background risk models: Setting a course for the idiosyncratic risk factors distributed phase-type," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 153-167.
    2. Jianxi Su & Edward Furman, 2016. "Multiple risk factor dependence structures: Distributional properties," Papers 1607.04739, arXiv.org.
    3. Su, Jianxi & Furman, Edward, 2017. "Multiple risk factor dependence structures: Copulas and related properties," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 109-121.
    4. Nadezhda Gribkova & Ričardas Zitikis, 2019. "Weighted allocations, their concomitant-based estimators, and asymptotics," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(4), pages 811-835, August.
    5. Jianxi Su & Edward Furman, 2016. "A form of multivariate Pareto distribution with applications to financial risk measurement," Papers 1607.04737, arXiv.org.
    6. Jianxi Su & Edward Furman, 2016. "Multiple risk factor dependence structures: Copulas and related properties," Papers 1610.02126, arXiv.org.
    7. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2020. "From risk sharing to risk transfer: the analytics of collaborative insurance," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2020017, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    8. Asimit, Alexandru V. & Furman, Edward & Tang, Qihe & Vernic, Raluca, 2011. "Asymptotics for risk capital allocations based on Conditional Tail Expectation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 310-324.
    9. Choo, Weihao & de Jong, Piet, 2015. "The tradeoff insurance premium as a two-sided generalisation of the distortion premium," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 238-246.
    10. Furman, Edward & Landsman, Zinoviy, 2010. "Multivariate Tweedie distributions and some related capital-at-risk analyses," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 351-361, April.
    11. Furman, Edward & Kuznetsov, Alexey & Zitikis, Ričardas, 2018. "Weighted risk capital allocations in the presence of systematic risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 75-81.
    12. Cheung, Eric C.K. & Peralta, Oscar & Woo, Jae-Kyung, 2022. "Multivariate matrix-exponential affine mixtures and their applications in risk theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 364-389.
    13. Eric C. K. Cheung & Oscar Peralta & Jae-Kyung Woo, 2021. "Multivariate matrix-exponential affine mixtures and their applications in risk theory," Papers 2201.11122, arXiv.org.
    14. Mohammed, Nawaf & Furman, Edward & Su, Jianxi, 2021. "Can a regulatory risk measure induce profit-maximizing risk capital allocations? The case of conditional tail expectation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 425-436.
    15. Radu Tunaru, 2015. "Model Risk in Financial Markets:From Financial Engineering to Risk Management," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 9524, January.
    16. Furman, Edward & Hackmann, Daniel & Kuznetsov, Alexey, 2020. "On log-normal convolutions: An analytical–numerical method with applications to economic capital determination," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 120-134.
    17. Alexandru V. Asimit & Raluca Vernic & Riċardas Zitikis, 2013. "Evaluating Risk Measures and Capital Allocations Based on Multi-Losses Driven by a Heavy-Tailed Background Risk: The Multivariate Pareto-II Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-20, March.
    18. Nawaf Mohammed & Edward Furman & Jianxi Su, 2021. "Can a regulatory risk measure induce profit-maximizing risk capital allocations? The case of Conditional Tail Expectation," Papers 2102.05003, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    19. Zhou, Ming & Dhaene, Jan & Yao, Jing, 2018. "An approximation method for risk aggregations and capital allocation rules based on additive risk factor models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 92-100.
    20. Furman, Edward & Zitikis, Ricardas, 2008. "Weighted risk capital allocations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 263-269, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multivariate distributions; Dependence; Pareto distributions; Default risk; Factor model; Weighted risk measures;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:76:y:2017:i:c:p:56-68. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505554 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.