IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/glofin/v19y2008i2p157-170.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Efficiency of the foreign currency options market

Author

Listed:
  • Hoque, Ariful
  • Chan, Felix
  • Manzur, Meher

Abstract

This paper provides a new test of the efficiency of the currency option markets for four major currencies -- British Pound, Euro, Swiss Frank and Japanese Yen vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar. The approach is to simulate trading strategies to see if the well-accepted no-arbitrage condition of put-call parity (PCP) holds in a trading environment. Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philips-Perron tests are used to check for the presence of unit roots in the data, followed by a formal econometric analysis. The results indicate that the most currency option prices do not violate the PCP conditions, when transaction costs are allowed for.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoque, Ariful & Chan, Felix & Manzur, Meher, 2008. "Efficiency of the foreign currency options market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 157-170.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:19:y:2008:i:2:p:157-170
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1044-0283(08)00027-6
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Evnine, Jeremy & Rudd, Andrew, 1985. "Index Options: The Early Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 743-756, July.
    2. Bhattacharya, Mihir, 1983. "Transactions data tests of efficiency of the Chicago board options exchange," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 161-185, August.
    3. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. George M. Frankfurter & Wai K. Leung, 1991. "Further Analysis Of The Put-Call Parity Implied Risk-Free Interest Rate," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 14(3), pages 217-232, September.
    5. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    6. Shastri, Kuldeep & Tandon, Kishore, 1985. "Arbitrage tests of the efficiency of the foreign currency options market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 455-468, December.
    7. Bodurtha, James N, Jr & Courtadon, Georges R, 1986. "Efficiency Tests of the Foreign Currency Options Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(1), pages 151-162, March.
    8. Muller, Ulrich A. & Dacorogna, Michel M. & Olsen, Richard B. & Pictet, Olivier V. & Schwarz, Matthias & Morgenegg, Claude, 1990. "Statistical study of foreign exchange rates, empirical evidence of a price change scaling law, and intraday analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 1189-1208, December.
    9. Ghosh, Dilip K. & Ghosh, Dipasri, 2005. "Covered arbitrage with currency options: A theoretical analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 86-98, August.
    10. Stoll, Hans R, 1969. "The Relationship between Put and Call Option Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 24(5), pages 801-824, December.
    11. Halpern, Paul J & Turnbull, Stuart M, 1985. "Empirical Tests of Boundary Conditions for Toronto Stock Exchange Options," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(2), pages 481-500, June.
    12. Frankfurter, George M & Leung, Wai K, 1991. "Further Analysis of the Put-Call Parity Implied Risk-Free Interest Rate," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 14(3), pages 217-232, Fall.
    13. Wagner, Drew & Ellis, David M & Dubofsky, David A, 1996. "The Factors behind Put-Call Parity Violations of S&P 100 Index Options," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 31(3), pages 535-552, August.
    14. Gould, J. P. & Galai, D., 1974. "Transactions costs and the relationship between put and call prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 105-129, July.
    15. Galai, Dan, 1978. "Empirical tests of boundary conditions for CBOE options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2-3), pages 187-211.
    16. Stephen F. Gray, 1989. "Put Call Parity: An Extension of Boundary Conditions," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 14(2), pages 151-169, December.
    17. Geske, Robert & Roll, Richard, 1984. "On Valuing American Call Options with the Black-Scholes European Formula," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(2), pages 443-455, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar & Hoque, Ariful, 2011. "Efficiency of European emissions markets: Lessons and implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 6575-6582, October.
    2. Ariful Hoque & Chandrasekhar Krishnamurti, 2012. "Modeling moneyness volatility in measuring exchange rate volatility," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 8(4), pages 365-380, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    2. Vesa Puttonen, 1992. "On the behaviour of the Finnish stock index options markets," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 117-128, Autumn.
    3. El-Mekkaoui, Mazen & Flood, Mark D., 1998. "Put-call parity revisited: intradaily tests in the foreign currency options market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 8(3-4), pages 357-376, December.
    4. David S. Bates, 1995. "Testing Option Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 5129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Abel Rodr�guez & Enrique ter Horst, 2011. "Measuring expectations in options markets: an application to the S&P500 index," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(9), pages 1393-1405, July.
    6. Yueh-Neng Lin & Shih-Kuo Yeh & Shih-Ching Chuan & Steven J. Jordan, 2008. "The link between intraday signals and call warrant mispricing," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(13), pages 2273-2288, November.
    7. Kleopatra Nikolaou & Lucio Sarno, 2006. "New evidence on the forward unbiasedness hypothesis in the foreign‐exchange market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(7), pages 627-656, July.
    8. Lucy F. Ackert & Yisong S. Tian, 2000. "Evidence on the efficiency of index options markets," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 85(Q1), pages 40-51.
    9. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2397 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Brunetti, Marianna & Torricelli, Costanza, 2005. "Put-call parity and cross-markets efficiency in the index options markets: evidence from the Italian market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 508-532.
    11. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2200 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Don M. Chance, 1988. "Boundary Condition Tests Of Bid And Ask Prices Of Index Call Options," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 11(1), pages 21-31, March.
    13. Kenneth Oliven & Thomas A. Rietz, 2004. "Suckers Are Born but Markets Are Made: Individual Rationality, Arbitrage, and Market Efficiency on an Electronic Futures Market," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(3), pages 336-351, March.
    14. Debaditya Mohanti & P. K. Priyan, 2014. "An Empirical Test of Market Efficiency of Indian Index Options Market Using the Black–Scholes Model and Dynamic Hedging Strategy," Paradigm, , vol. 18(2), pages 221-237, December.
    15. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
    16. Engstrom, Malin & Norden, Lars, 2000. "The early exercise premium in American put option prices," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(3-4), pages 461-479, December.
    17. Ofek, Eli & Richardson, Matthew & Whitelaw, Robert F., 2004. "Limited arbitrage and short sales restrictions: evidence from the options markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 305-342, November.
    18. Carlos A. Ulibarri & Peter C. Anselmo & Karen Hovsepian & Jacob Tolk & Ionut Florescu, 2009. "'Noise-trader risk' and Bayesian market making in FX derivatives: rolling loaded dice?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 1-1.
    19. Lieu, Derming, 1997. "Estimation of empirical pricing equations for foreign-currency options: Econometric models vs. arbitrage-free models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 259-286.
    20. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Eficiencia De Mercado, Administracion De Carteras De Fondos Y Behavioural Finance," Finance 0503028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2005.
    21. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Edgardo E. Zablotsky, 2001. "Eficiencia del mercado de Capitales. Una ilustración," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 194, Universidad del CEMA.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:19:y:2008:i:2:p:157-170. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620162 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.