IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finmar/v50y2020ics1386418119303581.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The information content of real operating performance measures from the airline industry

Author

Listed:
  • Borochin, Paul

Abstract

I use daily passenger flight delay data for all publicly held domestic US airlines from 1996 to 2016 to answer fundamental questions about the efficiency of market participants, accounting measures, and analysts in assessing the firm's real operating performance. Airline performance is priced in the cross-section of cumulative market- and industry-adjusted returns, with significant drift. Quarterly aggregates of performance predict post-earnings announcement drift. The sensitivity of individual airline operations to those of the entire industry, measured using a beta approach, carries a negative premium consistent with systemic operating risk being a liability rather than a positively priced risk factor with implications for the accounting beta literature. Return on sales reflects the quarter's real operating performance better than other common ROA measures, contributing to the measure selection literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Borochin, Paul, 2020. "The information content of real operating performance measures from the airline industry," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:50:y:2020:i:c:s1386418119303581
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2019.100528
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1386418119303581
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.finmar.2019.100528?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huizinga, Harry & Laeven, Luc, 2012. "Bank valuation and accounting discretion during a financial crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 614-634.
    2. Morse, D, 1981. "Price And Trading Volume Reaction Surrounding Earnings Announcements - A Closer Examination," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 374-383.
    3. Froot, Kenneth & Kang, Namho & Ozik, Gideon & Sadka, Ronnie, 2017. "What do measures of real-time corporate sales say about earnings surprises and post-announcement returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(1), pages 143-162.
    4. Beaver, William & Manegold, James, 1975. "The Association between Market-Determined and Accounting-Determined Measures of Systematic Risk: Some Further Evidence," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(2), pages 231-284, June.
    5. Poitras, Geoffrey, 1994. "Shareholder wealth maximization, business ethics and social responsibility," MPRA Paper 113221, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Shan Lan & John-Paul Clarke & Cynthia Barnhart, 2006. "Planning for Robust Airline Operations: Optimizing Aircraft Routings and Flight Departure Times to Minimize Passenger Disruptions," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 40(1), pages 15-28, February.
    7. Joshua Livnat & Richard R. Mendenhall, 2006. "Comparing the Post–Earnings Announcement Drift for Surprises Calculated from Analyst and Time Series Forecasts," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 177-205, March.
    8. Wagenhofer, Alfred, 1990. "Voluntary disclosure with a strategic opponent," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 341-363, March.
    9. Ball, R & Brown, P, 1969. "Portfolio Theory And Accounting," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 300-323.
    10. Hill, Ned C. & Stone, Bernell K., 1980. "Accounting Betas, Systematic Operating Risk, and Financial Leverage: A Risk-Composition Approach to the Determinants of Systematic Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 595-637, September.
    11. Erik Lie, 2001. "Detecting Abnormal Operating Performance: Revisited," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 30(2), Summer.
    12. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March.
    13. Strong, John S & Meyer, John R, 1987. "Asset Writedowns: Managerial Incentives and Security Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 643-661, July.
    14. Barber, Brad M. & Lyon, John D., 1996. "Detecting abnormal operating performance: The empirical power and specification of test statistics," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 359-399, July.
    15. Michelle Dunbar & Gary Froyland & Cheng-Lung Wu, 2012. "Robust Airline Schedule Planning: Minimizing Propagated Delay in an Integrated Routing and Crewing Framework," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(2), pages 204-216, May.
    16. Gary D. Eppen & R. Kipp Martin, 1988. "Determining Safety Stock in the Presence of Stochastic Lead Time and Demand," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 34(11), pages 1380-1390, November.
    17. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    18. Chambers, Ae & Penman, Sh, 1984. "Timeliness Of Reporting And The Stock-Price Reaction To Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(1), pages 21-47.
    19. Fama, Eugene F & MacBeth, James D, 1973. "Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 607-636, May-June.
    20. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    21. Freeman, Robert N., 1987. "The association between accounting earnings and security returns for large and small firms," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 195-228, July.
    22. Ball, Ray & Gerakos, Joseph & Linnainmaa, Juhani T. & Nikolaev, Valeri V., 2015. "Deflating profitability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 225-248.
    23. Jay M. Rosenberger & Ellis L. Johnson & George L. Nemhauser, 2003. "Rerouting Aircraft for Airline Recovery," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 37(4), pages 408-421, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yifan Xie & Yingkai Fang & Dengjun Zhang, 2022. "How Environmental Performance Affects Financial Performance in the Food Industry: A Global Outlook," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    2. Ray Ball & Gil Sadka & Ayung Tseng, 2022. "Using accounting earnings and aggregate economic indicators to estimate firm-level systematic risk," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 607-646, June.
    3. S. P. Kothari & Charles Wasley, 2019. "Commemorating the 50‐Year Anniversary of Ball and Brown (1968): The Evolution of Capital Market Research over the Past 50 Years," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(5), pages 1117-1159, December.
    4. Chen, Linda H. & Jiang, George J. & Zhu, Kevin X., 2018. "Total attention: The effect of macroeconomic news on market reaction to earnings news," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 142-156.
    5. Atif Ellahie, 2021. "Earnings beta," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 81-122, March.
    6. Linda H. Chen & Wei Huang & George J. Jiang & Kevin X. Zhu, 2022. "Why do investors discount earnings announced late?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 977-1014, April.
    7. Paul†Olivier Klein & Laurent Weill & Christophe J. Godlewski, 2018. "How sukuk shapes firm performance," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(3), pages 699-722, March.
    8. Hannu, Schadewitz, 1997. "Financial and nonfinancial information in interim reports: Determinants and implications," MPRA Paper 44292, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Salience theory and the cross-section of stock returns: International and further evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 689-725.
    10. Berggrun, Luis & Cardona, Emilio & Lizarzaburu, Edmundo, 2020. "Firm profitability and expected stock returns: Evidence from Latin America," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    11. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Chen, Xiaoyan & Ling, Xin & Smith, Tom & Zhu, Yushu, 2017. "Research in finance: A review of influential publications and a research agenda," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
    12. repec:bof:bofrdp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201508131351 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Mark Wong & Adrian Wai Kong Cheung & Wei Hu, 2021. "When two anomalies meet: Volume and timing effects on earnings announcements," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 355-380, May.
    14. Zhaobo Zhu & Licheng Sun & Chris Stivers, 2021. "Price anchors and short‐term reversals," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(2), pages 425-454, June.
    15. Kothari, S.P. & Leone, Andrew J. & Wasley, Charles E., 2005. "Performance matched discretionary accrual measures," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 163-197, February.
    16. Konan Chan & John W. Cooney & Joonghyuk Kim & Ajai K. Singh, 2008. "The IPO Derby: Are There Consistent Losers and Winners on This Track?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 37(1), pages 45-79, March.
    17. Bouzgarrou, Houssam & Navatte, Patrick, 2013. "Ownership structure and acquirers performance: Family vs. non-family firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 123-134.
    18. Barinov, Alexander, 2023. "Profitability anomaly and aggregate volatility risk," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    19. Richard Chung & Michael Firth & Jeong-Bon Kim, 2003. "Auditor conservatism and reported earnings," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 19-32.
    20. Hanauer, Matthias X. & Lauterbach, Jochim G., 2019. "The cross-section of emerging market stock returns," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 265-286.
    21. Kiesel, Florian & Ries, Jörg M. & Tielmann, Artur, 2017. "Reprint of “The impact of mergers and acquisitions on shareholders' wealth in the logistics service industry”," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 261-277.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market efficiency; Operating performance measures; Return predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:50:y:2020:i:c:s1386418119303581. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/finmar .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.