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Option pricing with stochastic liquidity risk: Theory and evidence

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  • Feng, Shih-Ping
  • Hung, Mao-Wei
  • Wang, Yaw-Huei

Abstract

This study develops a liquidity-adjusted option pricing model that demonstrates the impact of the liquidity risk on stock prices using a liquidity discount factor. The discount factor relates to both mean-reversion stochastic market liquidity and the sensitivity of stock prices to market illiquidity. Our empirical results provide strong evidence in support of incorporating liquidity risk in options pricing. In particular, our model shows marked pricing improvement for out-of-the-money or longer term options, as well as options on stocks with lower levels of liquidity.

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  • Feng, Shih-Ping & Hung, Mao-Wei & Wang, Yaw-Huei, 2014. "Option pricing with stochastic liquidity risk: Theory and evidence," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 77-95.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:18:y:2014:i:c:p:77-95
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2013.05.002
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    Cited by:

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    5. Xin‐Jiang He & Sha Lin, 2023. "Analytically pricing exchange options with stochastic liquidity and regime switching," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 662-676, May.
    6. Gao, Rui & Li, Yaqiong & Lin, Lisha, 2019. "Bayesian statistical inference for European options with stock liquidity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 518(C), pages 312-322.
    7. Li, Zhe & Zhang, Wei-Guo & Liu, Yong-Jun & Zhang, Yue, 2019. "Pricing discrete barrier options under jump-diffusion model with liquidity risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 347-368.
    8. Xingchun Wang, 2021. "Pricing vulnerable options with jump risk and liquidity risk," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 243-260, October.
    9. Li, Zhe & Zhang, Weiguo & Zhang, Yue & Yi, Zhigao, 2019. "An analytical approximation approach for pricing European options in a two-price economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    10. Ziming Dong & Dan Tang & Xingchun Wang, 2023. "Pricing vulnerable basket spread options with liquidity risk," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 23-50, April.
    11. Puneet Pasricha & Song-Ping Zhu & Xin-Jiang He, 2022. "A closed-form pricing formula for European options in an illiquid asset market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18, December.
    12. He, Xin-Jiang & Lin, Sha, 2023. "Analytically pricing variance and volatility swaps under a Markov-modulated model with liquidity risks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    13. Li, Zhe & Zhang, Wei-Guo & Liu, Yong-Jun, 2018. "Analytical valuation for geometric Asian options in illiquid markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 175-191.
    14. Wang, Xingchun, 2022. "Pricing vulnerable options with stochastic liquidity risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    15. Xu, De-xuan & Yang, Ben-zhang & Kang, Jian-hao & Huang, Nan-jing, 2021. "Variance and volatility swaps valuations with the stochastic liquidity risk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    16. Li, Zhe & Zhang, Wei-Guo & Liu, Yong-Jun, 2018. "European quanto option pricing in presence of liquidity risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 230-244.
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    18. Yongmin Zhang & Shusheng Ding & Meryem Duygun, 2019. "Derivatives pricing with liquidity risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(11), pages 1471-1485, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Option pricing; Liquidity risk; Liquidity discount factor;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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