This paper presents estimates of shareholder required rates of return and risk premia which are derived using forward-looking analysts' growth forecasts. We update through 1991 earlier work which, due to data availability, was restricted to the period 1982-1984. Using stronger tests, we also reexamine the efficacy of using such an expectational approach as an alternative to the use of historical averages. Using the S&P 500 as a proxy for the market portfolio, we find an average market risk premium ( 1982-1991) of 6.47% above yields on long-term U.S. government bonds and 5.13% above yields on corporate bonds. We also find that required returns for individual stocks vary directly with their risk (as proxied by beta) and that the market risk premium varies over time. These findings show that, in addition to fitting the theoretical requirement of being forward-looking, use of analysts' forecasts in estimating return requirements provides reasonable empirical results that can he useful in practical applications.
Download Info
To our knowledge, this item is not available for
download. To find whether it is available, there are three
options:
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page
whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be
available.
Publisher Info
Article provided by Financial Management Association in its journal Financial Management.
Contact details of provider: Postal: University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Ave. COBA #3331 Tampa, FL 33620 Phone: 813-974-2084 Fax: 813-974-3318 Web page: http://www.fma.org/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Courtney Connors).
Related research
Keywords:
Cited by: (explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)