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Are momentum profits driven by the cross-sectional dispersion in expected stock returns?

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  • Bhootra, Ajay

Abstract

Consistent with the hypothesis that momentum profits are attributable to the cross-sectional dispersion in expected returns, Bulkley and Nawosah (2009) report that momentum is nonexistent in demeaned returns. Motivated by their work, I examine whether absence of momentum in demeaned returns is robust to methodological adjustments that mitigate microstructure biases. I find that with commonly employed techniques including skipping a month between the formation and holding periods and excluding firms priced less than $5 (penny stocks) from the sample, the mean monthly momentum profit in demeaned returns increases from -0.37% to 1.02% over the 1963 to 2006 sample period. The results highlight the critical importance of using microstructure screens in empirical momentum studies.

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  • Bhootra, Ajay, 2011. "Are momentum profits driven by the cross-sectional dispersion in expected stock returns?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 494-513, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:14:y:2011:i:3:p:494-513
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    8. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, September.
    9. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Equity Return Dispersion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Multivariate Linear and Nonlinear Causality Tests," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-15, January.
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    11. Clark, Ephraim & Kassimatis, Konstantinos, 2014. "Exploiting stochastic dominance to generate abnormal stock returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 20-38.
    12. Calès, Ludovic & Chalkis, Apostolos & Emiris, Ioannis Z., 2019. "On the cross-sectional distribution of portfolio returns," Working Papers 2019-11, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    13. Ludovic Cal`es & Apostolos Chalkis & Ioannis Z. Emiris, 2021. "The cross-sectional distribution of portfolio returns and applications," Papers 2105.06573, arXiv.org.
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    16. Montone, Maurizio & van den Assem, Martijn J. & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2023. "Company name fluency and stock returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    17. Ali Fayyaz Munir & Mohd Edil Abd. Sukor & Shahrin Saaid Shaharuddin, 2022. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis and Time-varying Contrarian Effect: Evidence From Emerging Stock Markets of South Asia," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    18. Waszczuk, Antonina, 2013. "A risk-based explanation of return patterns—Evidence from the Polish stock market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 186-210.
    19. Eriksen, Jonas N., 2019. "Cross-sectional return dispersion and currency momentum," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 91-108.
    20. Bhootra, Ajay, 2018. "Another look at anchoring and stock return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 259-265.
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