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Higher-order comoment contagion among G20 equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic

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  • Fry-McKibbin, Renée
  • Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew
  • Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling
  • Qi, Lin

Abstract

We study the distribution of equity returns in the G20 equity markets to test for contagion following the first official report of a COVID-19 case in China in December 2019 and the subsequent announcement of a global pandemic in March 2020. We find evidence of contagion through equity market tail risk in early 2020 followed by widespread evidence of contagion across multiple channels from the U.S. to G20 equity markets after the pandemic announcement. Our results suggest that global equity markets may be exposed to unpriced pandemic risk factors with implications for portfolio diversification, risk management and financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Fry-McKibbin, Renée & Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Qi, Lin, 2022. "Higher-order comoment contagion among G20 equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:45:y:2022:i:c:s1544612321002312
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102150
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao, 2018. "Extremal dependence tests for contagion," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(6), pages 626-649, July.
    2. Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry & Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo & Vance Martin, 2005. "Empirical modelling of contagion: a review of methodologies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 9-24.
    3. Fry, Renée & Martin, Vance L. & Tang, Chrismin, 2010. "A New Class of Tests of Contagion With Applications," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(3), pages 423-437.
    4. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    5. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & Vance L. Martin, 2019. "Joint tests of contagion with applications," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 473-490, March.
    6. Black, Fischer, 1972. "Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 45(3), pages 444-455, July.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Xing, Xiaoyun & Xu, Zihan & Chen, Ying & Ouyang, WenPei & Deng, Jing & Pan, Huanxue, 2023. "The impact of the Russia–Ukraine conflict on the energy subsector stocks in China: A network-based approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial contagion; Comoment contagion tests;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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