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Is China a source of financial contagion?

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  • Akhtaruzzaman, Md
  • Abdel-Qader, Waleed
  • Hammami, Helmi
  • Shams, Syed

Abstract

The study examines the role China plays compared with the US in transmitting contagion to South Asia. Trade intensity, economic downturns, and negative net equity capital outflows positively influence dynamic conditional correlations between South Asian and US/Chinese financial stock returns. Chinese and US financial firms transmitted more spillovers than they received during the global financial crisis. Results are robust to the use of USD or local currency returns, and the alternative specification of the Diebold–Yilmaz model. The role of Chinese financial firms in transmitting shocks to South Asia may be of interest to policymakers, regulators, and other market participants.

Suggested Citation

  • Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Abdel-Qader, Waleed & Hammami, Helmi & Shams, Syed, 2021. "Is China a source of financial contagion?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:38:y:2021:i:c:s1544612319310402
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.101393
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial contagion; Spillover index; Dynamic conditional correlation; Business cycle; Trade intensity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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