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Downside and upside risk spillovers from China to Asian stock markets: A CoVaR-copula approach

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  • Jin, Xiaoye

Abstract

We studied downside and upside risk spillovers from China to a set of Asian stock markets by computing the downside and upside CoVaR values and assessing spillover effects by testing for significant differences between the CoVaR and VaR values. We found evidence of a positive relationship between China and Asian stock markets, with bivariate dependence structure differed across Asian stock markets. Finally, we also found asymmetries in upside and downside risk spillovers, with higher intensity in downside risk spillovers. Our results, consistent with the increasing economic integration between China and Asian economies in the form of trade links and investment movements, indicate that investors should consider the existence of asymmetric spillover effects from China for downside and upside risk management of international portfolios for these Asian stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin, Xiaoye, 2018. "Downside and upside risk spillovers from China to Asian stock markets: A CoVaR-copula approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 202-212.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:25:y:2018:i:c:p:202-212
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2017.10.027
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    Cited by:

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    2. Zehri, Chokri, 2021. "Stock market comovements: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    3. Duan, Yuejiao & Goodell, John W. & Li, Haoran & Li, Xinming, 2022. "Assessing machine learning for forecasting economic risk: Evidence from an expanded Chinese financial information set," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    4. Jiang, Yonghong & Fu, Yuyuan & Ruan, Weihua, 2019. "Risk spillovers and portfolio management between precious metal and BRICS stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    5. Sun, Qingru & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Guo, Sui & Liu, Xueyong & Wang, Ze, 2021. "Which time-frequency domain dominates spillover in the Chinese energy stock market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    6. Pham, Thach N. & Powell, Robert & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2021. "Systemically important banks in Asian emerging markets: Evidence from four systemic risk measures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Zhao, Hong & Li, Jiayi & Lei, Yiqing & Zhou, Mingming, 2022. "Risk spillover of banking across regions: Evidence from the belt and road countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dependence structure; Downside risk; Upside risk; Copulas; Chinese market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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